Projected seeding is based on team ratings from TheRankerPit.com.
A few noteworthy difference with consensus projections from the Bracketology community (found at bracketmatrix.com)
- Baylor has finally slipped to a consensus 2-seed. I’ve projected them as a 4- or 5-seed for weeks. Let’s see if they continue to slide as everyone’s perception of them catches up to how good they actually are
- Kansas is still a consensus 1-seed, but their team rating puts them at a 4-seed. According to the model’s ratings, West Virginia is the best team in the Big 12 and deserve the 1-seed.
- I have Wichita State as a 2-seed – way higher than the consensus 10-seed. Wichita State’s rating is probably a bit inflated from all of the large scoring margins accomplished against their relatively weak conference competition.
- Most bracketologists are just now taking Indiana out of their projection. Indiana’s been out for a long time for me
- Syracuse and Maryland are out. Xavier has slid considerably and is barely in, now.
1 | Gonzaga | 1 | West Virginia | |
16 | UC Irvine | 16 | Eastern Wash. | |
8 | Texas Tech | 8 | Middle Tenn. | |
9 | Indiana | 9 | Michigan | |
5 | SMU | 5 | St. Mary’s (CA) | |
12 | East Tenn. St. | 12 | Utah/TCU | |
4 | Purdue | 4 | Duke | |
13 | Monmouth | 13 | Vermont | |
6 | Arizona | 6 | Butler | |
11 | California | 11 | Arkansas | |
3 | Oregon | 3 | Villanova | |
14 | New Mexico St. | 14 | Belmont | |
7 | Iowa St. | 7 | Creighton | |
10 | Northwestern | 10 | Kansas St. | |
2 | North Carolina | 2 | UCLA | |
15 | Texas-Arlington | 15 | Winthrop | |
1 | Louisville | 1 | Kentucky | |
16 | Texas Southern/Wagner | 16 | A&M-Corpus Chris/N.C. Central | |
8 | South Carolina | 8 | Minnesota | |
9 | VCU | 9 | Rhode Island | |
5 | Baylor | 5 | Wisconsin | |
12 | Nevada | 12 | UNC Wilmington | |
4 | Kansas | 4 | Florida St. | |
13 | Valparaiso | 13 | Princeton | |
6 | Oklahoma St. | 6 | Notre Dame | |
11 | Tennessee/Xavier | 11 | Marquette | |
3 | Cincinnati | 3 | Florida | |
14 | Bucknell | 14 | Ohio | |
7 | Dayton | 7 | Houston | |
10 | Wake Forest | 10 | Miami (FL) | |
2 | Virginia | 2 | Wichita St. | |
15 | FGCU | 15 | IPFW |