Projected seeding is based on team ratings from TheRankerPit.com.
A few noteworthy differences with consensus projections from the Bracketology community (found at bracketmatrix.com)
- Baylor has finally slipped to a consensus 2-seed. I’ve projected them as a 4- or 5-seed for weeks. Let’s see if they continue to slide as everyone’s perception of them catches up to how good they actually are
- Kansas is still a consensus 1-seed, but their team rating puts them at a 4-seed. According to the model’s ratings, West Virginia is the best team in the Big 12 and deserve the 1-seed.
- I have Wichita State as a 2-seed – way higher than the consensus 10-seed. Wichita State’s rating is probably a bit inflated from all of the large scoring margins accomplished against their relatively weak conference competition.
- Xavier is a consensus 7-seed, but their slide in my ratings puts them as the last team in at a 12-seed
- Maryland is still a consensus 6-seed. Their loss last night to Minnesota at home supports my position for Maryland in the First Four Out. They’ve lost 4 of their last 6 games, which also supports my assertion of Maryland being one of the most overrated teams.
1 | Gonzaga | 1 | West Virginia | |
16 | Eastern Wash. | 16 | UC Irvine | |
8 | Minnesota | 8 | Middle Tenn. | |
9 | South Carolina | 9 | VCU | |
5 | Duke | 5 | SMU | |
12 | Utah/Louisiana Tech | 12 | Syracuse/Xavier | |
4 | Florida St. | 4 | Kansas | |
13 | Nevada | 13 | Vermont | |
6 | Arizona | 6 | Butler | |
11 | Arkansas | 11 | Northwestern | |
3 | Oregon | 3 | Cincinnati | |
14 | Belmont | 14 | Texas-Arlington | |
7 | Creighton | 7 | Iowa St. | |
10 | Miami (FL) | 10 | California | |
2 | UCLA | 2 | Wichita St. | |
15 | New Mexico St. | 15 | Winthrop | |
1 | Kentucky | 1 | North Carolina | |
16 | Wagner/Texas Southern | 16 | A&M-Corpus Chris/N.C. Central | |
8 | Michigan | 8 | Texas Tech | |
9 | Indiana | 9 | Rhode Island | |
5 | Baylor | 5 | Wisconsin | |
12 | Monmouth | 12 | UNC Wilmington | |
4 | St. Mary’s (CA) | 4 | Purdue | |
13 | Valparaiso | 13 | Princeton | |
6 | Oklahoma St. | 6 | Notre Dame | |
11 | Wake Forest | 11 | Kansas St. | |
3 | Virginia | 3 | Villanova | |
14 | Ohio | 14 | Bucknell | |
7 | Houston | 7 | Dayton | |
10 | East Tenn. St. | 10 | Marquette | |
2 | Florida | 2 | Louisville | |
15 | IPFW | 15 | FGCU |