Projected seeding is based on team ratings from TheRankerPit.com.
A few noteworthy differences with consensus projections from the Bracketology community (found at bracketmatrix.com)
- Baylor has finally slipped to a consensus 2-seed. They’ve slipped from a 5- to a 6-seed after losing to Iowa State. Let’s see if they continue to slide as everyone’s perception of them catches up to how good they actually are.
- Kansas is still a consensus 1-seed, but their team rating puts them at a 4-seed. According to the model’s ratings, West Virginia is the best team in the Big 12 and deserve the 1-seed. Kansas beat Texas in Austin by 10 over the weekend. Kent State only beat Texas by 5, so there’s that I guess.
- I have Wichita State as a 2-seed – way higher than the consensus 10-seed. Wichita State’s rating is probably a bit inflated from all of the large scoring margins accomplished against their relatively weak conference competition.
- Xavier is slowly slipping and is now a consensus 8-seed, but their slide in my ratings puts them now in the First Four Out of the tournament.
- Maryland finally dropped to a consensus 7-seed. They lost at home by 14 to Iowa (whose record is 16-13) – yet another loss that supports my position for Maryland not making the tournament. They’ve now lost 5 of their last 7 games, which also supports my assertion of Maryland being one of the most overrated teams.
- BYU and Michigan State have been on the bubble for a while and are now in.
1 | Gonzaga | 1 | West Virginia | |
16 | Eastern Wash. | 16 | UC Irvine | |
8 | Creighton | 8 | Middle Tenn. | |
9 | Rhode Island | 9 | Michigan | |
5 | Purdue | 5 | Duke | |
12 | BYU/Louisiana Tech | 12 | Michigan St./TCU | |
4 | Florida St. | 4 | St. Mary’s (CA) | |
13 | Princeton | 13 | Vermont | |
6 | Wisconsin | 6 | Oklahoma St. | |
11 | East Tenn. St. | 11 | Marquette | |
3 | Florida | 3 | Villanova | |
14 | New Mexico St. | 14 | Valparaiso | |
7 | Notre Dame | 7 | Houston | |
10 | Miami (FL) | 10 | California | |
2 | Wichita St. | 2 | North Carolina | |
15 | Ohio | 15 | Winthrop | |
1 | Louisville | 1 | Kentucky | |
16 | Texas Southern/Wagner | 16 | A&M-Corpus Chris/N.C. Central | |
8 | South Carolina | 8 | Texas Tech | |
9 | VCU | 9 | Indiana | |
5 | Butler | 5 | Arizona | |
12 | Nevada | 12 | UNC Wilmington | |
4 | Kansas | 4 | SMU | |
13 | Bucknell | 13 | Monmouth | |
6 | Iowa St. | 6 | Baylor | |
11 | Northwestern | 11 | Utah | |
3 | Oregon | 3 | Cincinnati | |
14 | Texas-Arlington | 14 | Belmont | |
7 | Minnesota | 7 | Dayton | |
10 | Wake Forest | 10 | Arkansas | |
2 | Virginia | 2 | UCLA | |
15 | FGCU | 15 | IPFW |