Dark Horse Final Four Team: a 5+ seeded team that reaches the Final Four
As 83% of all Final Four teams have been seeded 1-4, the following teams have the best chances among the “longshots.”
| Region | Seed | Team | Final 4 Probability |
| South | 7 | Cincinnati | 13% |
| West | 5 | Marquette | 6% |
| Midwest | 6 | Iowa St. | 5% |
| West | 6 | Buffalo | 3% |
| East | 5 | Mississippi St. | 3% |
| South | 6 | Villanova | 3% |
| Midwest | 5 | Auburn | 3% |