Top NCAA Tournament Championship Probabilities

To win your bracket pool, you’ve gotta pick the champion correctly (in standard scoring formats).  The final game is worth as much as the first 32 games combined.  Good thing you’re reading this post.

Using our sweet computer model that amazingly predicts NCAA Tournament results.   Read on to see this year’s most likely teams to win the NCAA Tournament.

RegionSeedTeamProbability
East1Duke29%
Midwest4Kansas13%
Midwest2Kentucky11%
East2Michigan St.11%
South1Virginia7%
South2Tennessee6%

The model likes Kansas, even though they do not have Champ DNA. The contender not shown here, North Carolina, has a 3% chance of winning the tournament – according to the model.

Another interesting takeaway – the eventual champion is most likely going to come from the East or Midwest regions.

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