A dark horse Final Four team is a 5+ seed that reaches the Final Four
Even though 83% of all Final Four teams have been seeded 1-4, 9 of the last 10 tournaments have had at least 1 5+ seed in the Final Four. The following teams have the best chances among this year’s “longshots.”
| Region | Seed | Team | Final 4 Prob |
| West | 6 | USC | 8% |
| Midwest | 5 | Tennessee | 7% |
| Midwest | 10 | Rutgers | 7% |
| South | 9 | Wisconsin | 5% |
| South | 7 | Florida | 5% |
| East | 6 | BYU | 4% |
| South | 5 | Villanova | 4% |
| Midwest | 7 | Clemson | 4% |
| East | 5 | Colorado | 4% |
| West | 5 | Creighton | 4% |