Tag Archives: bracket projection

Bracket Projection 12-4-17

Projected seeding is based on team ratings from TheRankerPit.com.

A few noteworthy differences with consensus projections from the Bracketology community (found at bracketmatrix.com)

  • There are quite a few differences right now, but it’s still early in the season.  It’ll be a lot of fun to watch how it plays out.
1 Kansas 1 Villanova
16 Liberty 16 Buffalo
8 Oklahoma St. 8 Louisville
9 San Diego St. 9 Missouri
5 UNLV 5 SMU
12 Texas 12 Oklahoma/Arizona
4 Kentucky 4 Gonzaga
13 Towson 13 South Dakota
6 Notre Dame 6 Florida St.
11 Murray St. 11 Oregon
3 TCU 3 Minnesota
14 Mercer 14 Vermont
7 Miami (FL) 7 Wichita St.
10 Temple 10 Arkansas
2 Arizona St. 2 Texas A&M
15 Stephen F. Austin 15 FGCU
1 Michigan St. 1 West Virginia
16 N.C. A&T/Prairie View 16 Rider/Bucknell
8 Boise St. 8 St. John’s (NY)
9 Auburn 9 Cincinnati
5 Virginia 5 Florida
12 Maryland 12 Virginia Tech/Maryland
4 Xavier 4 Purdue
13 Texas-Arlington 13 Western Ky.
6 North Carolina 6 UNI
11 Providence 11 Clemson
3 Texas Tech 3 Seton Hall
14 UC Davis 14 Penn
7 Rhode Island 7 Nevada
10 Penn St. 10 Valparaiso
2 Duke 2 Tennessee
15 Wagner 15 Idaho

Bracket Projection 2-27-17

Projected seeding is based on team ratings from TheRankerPit.com.

A few noteworthy differences with consensus projections from the Bracketology community (found at bracketmatrix.com)

  • Baylor has finally slipped to a consensus 2-seed.  They’ve slipped from a 5- to a 6-seed after losing to Iowa State.  Let’s see if they continue to slide as everyone’s perception of them catches up to how good they actually are.
  • Kansas is still a consensus 1-seed, but their team rating puts them at a 4-seed.  According to the model’s ratings, West Virginia is the best team in the Big 12 and deserve the 1-seed.  Kansas beat Texas in Austin by 10 over the weekend.  Kent State only beat Texas by 5, so there’s that I guess.
  • I have Wichita State as a 2-seed – way higher than the consensus 10-seed.  Wichita State’s rating is probably a bit inflated from all of the large scoring margins accomplished against their relatively weak conference competition.
  • Xavier is slowly slipping and is now a consensus 8-seed, but their slide in my ratings puts them now in the First Four Out of the tournament.
  • Maryland finally dropped to a consensus 7-seed.  They lost at home by 14 to Iowa (whose record is 16-13) – yet another loss that supports my position for Maryland not making the tournament.  They’ve now lost 5 of their last 7 games, which also supports my assertion of Maryland being one of the most overrated teams.
  • BYU and Michigan State have been on the bubble for a while and are now in.
1 Gonzaga 1 West Virginia
16 Eastern Wash. 16 UC Irvine
8 Creighton 8 Middle Tenn.
9 Rhode Island 9 Michigan
5 Purdue 5 Duke
12 BYU/Louisiana Tech 12 Michigan St./TCU
4 Florida St. 4 St. Mary’s (CA)
13 Princeton 13 Vermont
6 Wisconsin 6 Oklahoma St.
11 East Tenn. St. 11 Marquette
3 Florida 3 Villanova
14 New Mexico St. 14 Valparaiso
7 Notre Dame 7 Houston
10 Miami (FL) 10 California
2 Wichita St. 2 North Carolina
15 Ohio 15 Winthrop
1 Louisville 1 Kentucky
16 Texas Southern/Wagner 16 A&M-Corpus Chris/N.C. Central
8 South Carolina 8 Texas Tech
9 VCU 9 Indiana
5 Butler 5 Arizona
12 Nevada 12 UNC Wilmington
4 Kansas 4 SMU
13 Bucknell 13 Monmouth
6 Iowa St. 6 Baylor
11 Northwestern 11 Utah
3 Oregon 3 Cincinnati
14 Texas-Arlington 14 Belmont
7 Minnesota 7 Dayton
10 Wake Forest 10 Arkansas
2 Virginia 2 UCLA
15 FGCU 15 IPFW

 

Bracket Projection 2-23-17

Projected seeding is based on team ratings from TheRankerPit.com.

A few noteworthy differences with consensus projections from the Bracketology community (found at bracketmatrix.com)

  • Baylor has finally slipped to a consensus 2-seed.  I’ve projected them as a 4- or 5-seed for weeks.  Let’s see if they continue to slide as everyone’s perception of them catches up to how good they actually are
  • Kansas is still a consensus 1-seed, but their team rating puts them at a 4-seed.  According to the model’s ratings, West Virginia is the best team in the Big 12 and deserve the 1-seed.
  • I have Wichita State as a 2-seed – way higher than the consensus 10-seed.  Wichita State’s rating is probably a bit inflated from all of the large scoring margins accomplished against their relatively weak conference competition.
  • Xavier is a consensus 7-seed, but their slide in my ratings puts them as the last team in at a 12-seed
  • Maryland is still a consensus 6-seed.  Their loss last night to Minnesota at home supports my position for Maryland in the First Four Out.  They’ve lost 4 of their last 6 games, which also supports my assertion of Maryland being one of the most overrated teams.
1 Gonzaga 1 West Virginia
16 Eastern Wash. 16 UC Irvine
8 Minnesota 8 Middle Tenn.
9 South Carolina 9 VCU
5 Duke 5 SMU
12 Utah/Louisiana Tech 12 Syracuse/Xavier
4 Florida St. 4 Kansas
13 Nevada 13 Vermont
6 Arizona 6 Butler
11 Arkansas 11 Northwestern
3 Oregon 3 Cincinnati
14 Belmont 14 Texas-Arlington
7 Creighton 7 Iowa St.
10 Miami (FL) 10 California
2 UCLA 2 Wichita St.
15 New Mexico St. 15 Winthrop
1 Kentucky 1 North Carolina
16 Wagner/Texas Southern 16 A&M-Corpus Chris/N.C. Central
8 Michigan 8 Texas Tech
9 Indiana 9 Rhode Island
5 Baylor 5 Wisconsin
12 Monmouth 12 UNC Wilmington
4 St. Mary’s (CA) 4 Purdue
13 Valparaiso 13 Princeton
6 Oklahoma St. 6 Notre Dame
11 Wake Forest 11 Kansas St.
3 Virginia 3 Villanova
14 Ohio 14 Bucknell
7 Houston 7 Dayton
10 East Tenn. St. 10 Marquette
2 Florida 2 Louisville
15 IPFW 15 FGCU

Bracket Projection 2-20-17

Projected seeding is based on team ratings from TheRankerPit.com.

A few noteworthy difference with consensus projections from the Bracketology community (found at bracketmatrix.com)

  • Baylor has finally slipped to a consensus 2-seed.  I’ve projected them as a 4- or 5-seed for weeks.  Let’s see if they continue to slide as everyone’s perception of them catches up to how good they actually are
  • Kansas is still a consensus 1-seed, but their team rating puts them at a 4-seed.  According to the model’s ratings, West Virginia is the best team in the Big 12 and deserve the 1-seed.
  • I have Wichita State as a 2-seed – way higher than the consensus 10-seed.  Wichita State’s rating is probably a bit inflated from all of the large scoring margins accomplished against their relatively weak conference competition.
  • Most bracketologists are just now taking Indiana out of their projection.  Indiana’s been out for a long time for me
  • Syracuse and Maryland are out.  Xavier has slid considerably and is barely in, now.
1 Gonzaga 1 West Virginia
16 UC Irvine 16 Eastern Wash.
8 Texas Tech 8 Middle Tenn.
9 Indiana 9 Michigan
5 SMU 5 St. Mary’s (CA)
12 East Tenn. St. 12 Utah/TCU
4 Purdue 4 Duke
13 Monmouth 13 Vermont
6 Arizona 6 Butler
11 California 11 Arkansas
3 Oregon 3 Villanova
14 New Mexico St. 14 Belmont
7 Iowa St. 7 Creighton
10 Northwestern 10 Kansas St.
2 North Carolina 2 UCLA
15 Texas-Arlington 15 Winthrop
1 Louisville 1 Kentucky
16 Texas Southern/Wagner 16 A&M-Corpus Chris/N.C. Central
8 South Carolina 8 Minnesota
9 VCU 9 Rhode Island
5 Baylor 5 Wisconsin
12 Nevada 12 UNC Wilmington
4 Kansas 4 Florida St.
13 Valparaiso 13 Princeton
6 Oklahoma St. 6 Notre Dame
11 Tennessee/Xavier 11 Marquette
3 Cincinnati 3 Florida
14 Bucknell 14 Ohio
7 Dayton 7 Houston
10 Wake Forest 10 Miami (FL)
2 Virginia 2 Wichita St.
15 FGCU 15 IPFW

 

Bracket Projection 2-16-17

Projected seeding is based on team ratings from TheRankerPit.com.

A few noteworthy difference with consensus projections from the Bracketology community (found at bracketmatrix.com)

  • Kansas and Baylor are both consensus 1-seeds.  Ratings from TheRankerPit.com indicate Kansas and Baylor may be a bit overrated.
  • I have Wichita State as a 2-seed – way higher than the consensus 10-seed.  Wichita State’s rating is probably a bit inflated from all of the large scoring margins accomplished against their relatively weak conference competition.
  • Most bracketologists are just now taking Indiana out of their projection.  Indiana’s been out for a long time for me
  • Maryland and Arkansas have moved in, while Illinois State and Tennessee have moved out.
1 Gonzaga 1 West Virginia
16 UC Irvine 16 N.C. Central
8 South Carolina 8 Minnesota
9 Indiana 9 Middle Tenn.
5 Wisconsin 5 Baylor
12 Syracuse/Arkansas 12 UNC Wilmington
4 Cincinnati 4 Purdue
13 Nevada 13 Monmouth
6 Arizona 6 Notre Dame
11 Xavier 11 Wake Forest
3 UCLA 3 Villanova
14 Princeton 14 Akron
7 Creighton 7 Iowa St.
10 Rhode Island 10 Utah
2 Virginia 2 North Carolina
15 Bucknell 15 UNC Asheville
1 Louisville 1 Kentucky
16 Texas Southern/Wagner 16 Sam Houston St./Eastern Wash.
8 Michigan 8 Texas Tech
9 Northwestern 9 VCU
5 St. Mary’s (CA) 5 SMU
12 Vermont 12 East Tenn. St.
4 Kansas 4 Duke
13 Belmont 13 Valparaiso
6 Butler 6 Oklahoma St.
11 TCU/Maryland 11 Miami (FL)
3 Florida St. 3 Oregon
14 New Mexico St. 14 Texas-Arlington
7 Dayton 7 Houston
10 Kansas St. 10 California
2 Wichita St. 2 Florida
15 FGCU 15 IPFW

Bracket Projection 2-13-17

Projected seeding is based on team ratings from TheRankerPit.com.

A few noteworthy difference with consensus projections from the Bracketology community (found at bracketmatrix.com)

  • Kansas and Baylor are both consensus 1-seeds.  Ratings from TheRankerPit.com indicate Kansas and Baylor may be a bit overrated.
  • Meanwhile, I have West Virginia as a 1-seed.  Just so happens West Virginia plays at Kansas tonight – how convenient.  West Virginia won the first matchup 85-69 on Jan. 24.
  • I have Wichita State moving up to a 2-seed – way higher than the consensus 10-seed.  Wichita State’s rating is probably a bit inflated from all of the large scoring margins accomplished against their relatively weak conference competition.
  • Most bracketologists are just now taking Indiana out of their projection.  Indiana’s been out for a long time for me
  • Prediction:  Maryland will also eventually fall out of everyone else’s bracket.  They’re not nearly as good as “everyone” thinks.
1 Gonzaga 1 West Virginia
16 UC Irvine 16 Eastern Wash.
8 Dayton 8 Rhode Island
9 Indiana 9 Xavier
5 Baylor 5 Wisconsin
12 Syracuse/Illinois St. 12 East Tenn. St.
4 Oregon 4 Purdue
13 Vermont 13 Monmouth
6 Arizona 6 Notre Dame
11 Utah 11 California
3 Villanova 3 UCLA
14 Belmont 14 New Mexico St.
7 Creighton 7 Houston
10 Michigan 10 Kansas St.
2 Virginia 2 North Carolina
15 Bucknell 15 IPFW
1 Kentucky 1 Louisville
16 Texas Southern/Wagner 16 Sam Houston St./N.C. Central
8 Minnesota 8 Texas Tech
9 Middle Tenn. 9 Northwestern
5 St. Mary’s (CA) 5 Kansas
12 Nevada 12 UNC Wilmington
4 SMU 4 Duke
13 Princeton 13 Valparaiso
6 Butler 6 Oklahoma St.
11 Miami (FL)/TCU 11 Tennessee
3 Florida St. 3 Cincinnati
14 Akron 14 Texas-Arlington
7 South Carolina 7 Iowa St.
10 VCU 10 Wake Forest
2 Wichita St. 2 Florida
15 FGCU 15 Winthrop

Bracket Projection 2-10-17

 

1 Gonzaga 1 West Virginia
16 UC Irvine 16 N.C. Central
8 Dayton 8 Minnesota
9 Rhode Island 9 Xavier
5 Kansas 5 SMU
12 Marquette/Wake Forest 12 UNC Wilmington
4 Oregon 4 Duke
13 Belmont 13 Vermont
6 Arizona 6 Oklahoma St.
11 California 11 Tennessee
3 UCLA 3 Cincinnati
14 Princeton 14 New Mexico St.
7 South Carolina 7 Houston
10 Middle Tenn. 10 TCU
2 Kentucky 2 Florida
15 Bucknell 15 Winthrop
1 Virginia 1 Louisville
16 Texas Southern/Wagner 16 Sam Houston St./Eastern Wash.
8 Texas Tech 8 Indiana
9 Michigan 9 Kansas St.
5 St. Mary’s (CA) 5 Baylor
12 Nevada 12 East Tenn. St.
4 Wisconsin 4 Purdue
13 Valparaiso 13 Monmouth
6 Notre Dame 6 Butler
11 Utah/Miami (FL) 11 Syracuse
3 Wichita St. 3 Villanova
14 Texas-Arlington 14 Akron
7 Iowa St. 7 Creighton
10 VCU 10 Northwestern
2 Florida St. 2 North Carolina
15 FGCU 15 IPFW

Bracket Projection 2-9-17

  • Virginia takes a 1-seed from Kentucky
  • Florida and Florida State both move up to 2-seeds
1 Gonzaga 1 West Virginia
16 UC Irvine 16 Eastern Wash.
8 Dayton 8 Minnesota
9 Texas Tech 9 Xavier
5 SMU 5 St. Mary’s (CA)
12 Miami (FL)/Marquette 12 East Tenn. St.
4 Oregon 4 Wisconsin
13 New Mexico St. 13 Belmont
6 Arizona 6 Oklahoma St.
11 VCU 11 California
3 Villanova 3 UCLA
14 Princeton 14 Valparaiso
7 South Carolina 7 Houston
10 Michigan 10 Middle Tenn.
2 Kentucky 2 North Carolina
15 Lehigh 15 IPFW
1 Virginia 1 Louisville
16 Texas Southern/Wagner 16 Sam Houston St./N.C. Central
8 Indiana 8 Rhode Island
9 TCU 9 Kansas St.
5 Baylor 5 Kansas
12 Nevada 12 UNC Wilmington
4 Purdue 4 Duke
13 Monmouth 13 Vermont
6 Notre Dame 6 Butler
11 Syracuse/Wake Forest 11 Utah
3 Wichita St. 3 Cincinnati
14 Akron 14 Texas-Arlington
7 Creighton 7 Iowa St.
10 Northwestern 10 Tennessee
2 Florida St. 2 Florida
15 Winthrop 15 FGCU

Bracket Projection 2-8-17

1 Gonzaga 1 West Virginia
16 UC Irvine 16 N.C. Central
8 Dayton 8 Indiana
9 Texas Tech 9 Xavier
5 Kansas 5 Baylor
12 Miami (FL)/Marquette 12 East Tenn. St.
4 Oregon 4 Wisconsin
13 Belmont 13 New Mexico St.
6 Arizona 6 Oklahoma St.
11 Utah 11 Tennessee
3 Villanova 3 Cincinnati
14 Valparaiso 14 Princeton
7 South Carolina 7 Creighton
10 TCU 10 Michigan
2 Virginia 2 North Carolina
15 Bucknell 15 IPFW
1 Kentucky 1 Louisville
16 Texas Southern/Wagner 16 Sam Houston St./Eastern Wash.
8 Minnesota 8 Rhode Island
9 VCU 9 Kansas St.
5 St. Mary’s (CA) 5 SMU
12 Nevada 12 UNC Wilmington
4 Duke 4 Purdue
13 Monmouth 13 Vermont
6 Notre Dame 6 Butler
11 Syracuse/Wake Forest 11 California
3 Wichita St. 3 Florida St.
14 Akron 14 Texas-Arlington
7 Houston 7 Iowa St.
10 Northwestern 10 Middle Tenn.
2 UCLA 2 Florida
15 Winthrop 15 FGCU

 

 

Bracket Projection 2-5-17

1 Gonzaga 1 West Virginia
16 Weber St. 16 N.C. Central
8 Houston 8 Indiana
9 Northwestern 9 Kansas St.
5 Baylor 5 Florida St.
12 Marquette/Maryland 12 East Tenn. St.
4 Wichita St. 4 Purdue
13 Nevada 13 Belmont
6 Arizona 6 Notre Dame
11 Michigan 11 Syracuse
3 UCLA 3 Cincinnati
14 Valparaiso 14 Akron
7 South Carolina 7 Creighton
10 VCU 10 TCU
2 Virginia 2 North Carolina
15 Bucknell 15 FGCU
1 Louisville 1 Kentucky
16 Wagner/Texas Southern 16 Sam Houston St./UC Irvine
8 Minnesota 8 Xavier
9 Texas Tech 9 Rhode Island
5 SMU 5 St. Mary’s (CA)
12 Monmouth 12 UNC Wilmington
4 Duke 4 Kansas
13 Vermont 13 New Mexico St.
6 Oklahoma St. 6 Butler
11 Wake Forest/Arkansas 11 California
3 Wisconsin 3 Oregon
14 Princeton 14 Texas-Arlington
7 Dayton 7 Iowa St.
10 Middle Tenn. 10 Utah
2 Villanova 2 Florida
15 Winthrop 15 IPFW