Tag Archives: NCAA championship prediction

Top 5 Most Likely First Round Upsets

Increase your chances of winning your bracket pool by using simulation results from BracketResearch.com’s computer model.  Click here to see just how amazing it is at predicting NCAA Tournament outcomes. Among the most likely upsets in the first round, we’ve got a nice mix of 10, 11, 12, and 13 seeds.  Only two teams, though, have a greater than 50% chance of winning their first game.

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Top 5 Most Likely Teams to Win the Midwest Region

Increase your chances of winning your bracket pool by using simulation results from BracketResearch.com’s computer model.  Click here to see just how amazing it is at predicting NCAA Tournament outcomes. You like Michigan State to reach the Final Four?  You might want to reconsider…

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Top 5 Most Likely Teams to Win the East Region

Increase your chances of winning your bracket pool by using simulation results from BracketResearch.com’s computer model.  Click here to see just how amazing it is at predicting NCAA Tournament outcomes. The fourth and fifth most likely teams to win the East Region may surprise you.

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Top 5 Most Likely Teams to Win the West Region

Increase your chances of winning your bracket pool by using simulation results from BracketResearch.com’s computer model.  Click here to see just how amazing it is at predicting NCAA Tournament outcomes. The West Region had, by far, the most lopsided results, with one team winning 60% of the tournament simulations.

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Top 5 Most Likely Teams to Win the South Region

Increase your chances of winning your bracket pool by using simulation results from BracketResearch.com’s computer model that amazingly predicts NCAA Tournament outcomes.  Click here to see just how amazing. The South Region is the most wide open, with five teams having at least a 10% chance to win it and advance to the Final Four.

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Top 5 Most Likely 2018 NCAA Champions

To win your bracket pool, you’ve gotta pick the champion correctly (in standard scoring formats).  The final game is worth as much as the first 32 games combined.  Good thing you’re reading this post.

BracketResearch.com has developed a computer model that amazingly predicts NCAA Tournament results.  Click here to see just how amazing.  Read on to see this year’s most likely teams to win the NCAA Tournament.

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New Computer Model Produces Amazing Results

BracketResearch.com has developed a computer model that amazingly predicts NCAA Tournament results.  The model simulates the NCAA Tournament, providing results that you can use to dramatically increase your chances of winning your bracket pool.  I will share simulation results in separate posts, but continue reading to see how well the model performed when I tested it on the past five tournaments.

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2018 Teams With Champ DNA

A thorough analysis of past national championship teams has shown that they have certain traits and characteristics in common.  Visit the DNA of a National Championship Team page for a full explanation of those attributes. Scroll all the way to the bottom of this post if you just want to see a list of this year’s contenders.

Caution:  Not all teams that fit this description win the championship.  Every year there are between 3 and 10 contenders with the right DNA that don’t win it all and might even make an early exit from the tournament (for example, 2016 Michigan State losing in the First Round or Kentucky’s second round exit in 2004).

Here’s a breakdown of this year’s contenders.

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The Quarterfinal Rule – teams that will not win the championship – 2018

The Quarterfinal Rule has never been broken.  It states that any team that fails to advance past their conference tournament quarterfinal WILL NOT win the national championship.  Here is a list of teams eliminated from contention by the Quarterfinal Rule last year.  I’ll keep this year’s list up to data as we progress through the week.

2018 Teams Eliminated From National Title Contention

  • Ohio State – Lost to Penn State in the Big Ten Quarterfinals
  • Auburn – Lost to Alabama (Roll Tide!) in the SEC Quarterfinals

 

2017 Bracket Predictions

  • The champ will be either Duke, Kentucky, North Carolina, UCLA, or Oregon
  • IF Kansas gets past Miami, they will lose in the Sweet 16 to Iowa State
  • Gonzaga won’t reach the Final Four
  • Extremely over-seeded Minnesota will lose to MTSU in the First Round
  • Extremely over-seeded Maryland will lose to Xavier in the First Round
  • St. Mary’s will pull off the upset of the tournament by beating Arizona in the Second Round