I’ve gathered bracket probabilities from other websites to compare with my model’s results. Here are the numbers from those models as well as a composite (average of all the models) probability for every team reaching each round. Apologies to the other play-in teams, but I assumed Rutgers, Indiana, Texas A&M-CC, and Wright State win their First Four games.
I’ll show the numbers in a few different looks – Champs, First Round Upsets, Bracket Busters, Cinderellas, Busts, Dark Horse Final Four, and a composite for All Teams/All Rounds – get your scrolling fingers ready!
I was able to find predictions at the following websites:
- BR – BracketResearch.com
- POM – KenPom
- TPR – The Power Rank
- ESPN – ESPN’s Basketball Power Index (BPI)
- EM – evanmiya.com (kind of – I couldn’t find all of his probabilities)
Ratings also here: https://barttorvik.com/tourneytime.php