Win your bracket with data, not gut feelings.
A transparent computer model and sharp analysis for every NCAA Tournament team — Cinderellas, busters, and the picks nobody else sees coming.
No spreadsheets to wrangle. Just the edges that move the needle.
Every angle of your bracket, broken down.
Not hot takes — repeatable, data-backed edges built from decades of tournament history and a model that updates as the bracket unfolds.
2026 Final Four Contenders - Model Results
To win your bracket pool, you’ve got to pick the right Champ. There will likely be others in your pool that picked the same champ. Your Final Four picks can be the…
Read analysis →Mar 17, 20262026 NCAA Tournament Champ Contenders - Model Results
To win your bracket pool, you've got to pick the right Champ. Here is a collection of computer model results from me (BracketResearch), KenPom , BartTorvik , ESPN , and EvanMiya .…
Read analysis →Mar 17, 20262026 First Round Upsets - Model Results
Picking First Round Upsets can either wreck your bracket from the get-go or give you a head start on your way to bracket pool glory. Historically, March Madness averages 6-7 First Round…
Read analysis →Dec 22, 2025BracketNinja’s Weekly Bracket Intel – 12/22/25
Curated college basketball links with March Madness implications I’ve scoured the web so you don’t have to. Below are some interesting college basketball reads from around the internet — always curated with…
Read analysis →Dec 18, 2025BracketNinja’s Weekly Bracket Intel - 12/18/25
Curated college basketball links with March Madness implications I’ve scoured the web so you don’t have to. Below are some interesting college basketball reads from around the internet — always curated with…
Read analysis →Mar 19, 20242024 East Region Model Results
The 2024 NCAA Tournament East Region favorite is Connecticut. Surprise, surprise! All four models are in the same ballpark with Connecticut, too. The Models BR - My models for BracketResearch.com ESPN POM…
Read analysis →Cinderella Watch
Sort and filter the double-digit seeds by their odds to reach each round. This is the kind of living tool that replaces a static blog post — updated as the bracket sets.
| Team | Conf | Cinderella % ↓ | Sweet 16 % | Elite 8 % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10New Mexico | Mtn West | 44% | 39% | 15% |
| 11UC Irvine | Big West | 41% | 35% | 12% |
| 12Drake | MVC | 38% | 31% | 9% |
| 13McNeese | Southland | 34% | 22% | 6% |
| 12Liberty | CUSA | 31% | 24% | 7% |
| 13Yale | Ivy | 29% | 18% | 4% |
| 13High Point | Big South | 27% | 16% | 5% |
| 14Akron | MAC | 22% | 11% | 3% |
One transparent composite. Every team, every round.
We blend the strongest public bracket models into a single composite probability for each team — then show our work. No black boxes, no recency bias, no picking chalk for the sake of it.
Get the edges before tip-off.
Cinderella picks, bracket busters, and the full model composite — delivered the moment the bracket is announced.