The World Cup, decoded with data.
The same transparent, model-driven approach we bring to March Madness — pointed at the first 48-team FIFA World Cup, across the USA, Canada, and Mexico. Previews for all 104 games, group-stage odds, head-to-head tools, and player ratings.
France30.6%
Spain19.7%
Argentina19.5%
England17.5%
Portugal4.6%Next up
Title contenders
Francecomposite 28.3%30.6% Spaincomposite 13.9%19.7% Argentinacomposite 15.9%19.5% Englandcomposite 11.7%17.5% Portugalcomposite 5.5%4.6%
Norwaycomposite 5.1%2.2%
Moroccocomposite 3.1%1.6%
Belgiumcomposite 1.6%1.6%Win probabilities come from our team-strength model (blending Elo form, FIFA ranking, and squad quality) run over thousands of simulated tournaments. Title odds are the model’s — not a bookmaker’s. For the six-source blend of our model, Elo, FIFA, the market, and Opta, see the composite ratings.
Tools & previews
Match Center
All 104 games by day — time, TV, venue, model pick.
World CupKnockout Bracket
Round of 32 to the final — model win% and to-advance odds per game.
World CupComposite Ratings
Our model blended with Elo, FIFA, the betting market, and Opta — one index, all 48 teams.
World CupGroup Projections
Who advances out of all 12 groups, by the numbers.
World CupCompare Teams
Put any two of the 48 teams side by side.
World CupPlayer Ratings
Search and sort every squad player by attribute.
World CupTitle Simulator
Each team’s path from the group to the trophy.
World CupViewing Guide
The best game to watch every single day.