World Cup 2026 / Schedule / CAN v MAR
Round of 16 · Saturday, July 4, 2026
Canada vs Morocco 
The pick
Model probability to advance
28% CAN72% MAR
Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model.
Head to head
Expected shapes: Canada 4-4-2, Morocco 4-2-3-1.
Ruled out: CAN — Marcelo Flores, 19 Alphonso Davies · MAR — Abde Ezzalzouli, 5 Nayef Aguerd, 11 Ismael Saibari
Canadavs
Morocco
Model rating
FIFA ranking
Title odds
Squad value (top 26)
Players in top-5 leagues
Avg age (XI) · younger left
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
CANMAR
Top players
Canada19 Alphonso Davies
84
PAC94
SHO66
PAS78
DRI85
DEF74
PHY76
Quick StepRapid
10 Jonathan David
82
PAC81
SHO82
PAS71
DRI80
DEF34
PHY78
Low Driven ShotPress ProvenQuick StepRelentless
2 Alistair Johnston
78
PAC82
SHO59
PAS73
DRI72
DEF73
PHY80
AnticipateBruiserJockeyRelentless
Morocco2 Achraf Hakimi
89
PAC92
SHO79
PAS82
DRI83
DEF82
PHY79
Relentless ★AnticipateJockeyLow Driven Shot
1 Yassine Bounou
82
PAC81
SHO82
PAS76
DRI85
DEF38
PHY82
Cross ClaimerFar ThrowFootwork
5 Nayef Aguerd
81
PAC72
SHO50
PAS67
DRI65
DEF82
PHY77
AnticipateLong Ball PassPrecision Header
Key players to watch
RB Morocco
Morocco2 Achraf Hakimi
89
PAC92
SHO79
PAS82
DRI83
DEF82
PHY79
Relentless ★AnticipateJockeyLow Driven Shot
LB Canada
Canada19 Alphonso Davies
84
PAC94
SHO66
PAS78
DRI85
DEF74
PHY76
Quick StepRapid
ST Canada
Canada10 Jonathan David
82
PAC81
SHO82
PAS71
DRI80
DEF34
PHY78
Low Driven ShotPress ProvenQuick StepRelentless
GK Morocco
Morocco1 Yassine Bounou
82
PAC81
SHO82
PAS76
DRI85
DEF38
PHY82
Cross ClaimerFar ThrowFootwork
Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.