World Cup 2026 / Schedule / POR v ESP
Round of 16 · Monday, July 6, 2026
Portugal vs Spain 
The pick
Model probability to advance
26% POR74% ESP
Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model.
Head to head
Expected shapes: Portugal 4-3-3, Spain 4-3-3.
Ruled out: ESP — Dani Carvajal, Fermín López, 11 Yeremy Pino
Portugalvs
Spain
Model rating
FIFA ranking
Title odds
Squad value (top 26)
Players in top-5 leagues
Avg age (XI) · younger left
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
PORESP
Top players
Portugal8 Bruno Fernandes
87
PAC67
SHO83
PAS89
DRI83
DEF65
PHY75
Relentless ★Dead BallGamechangerIncisive Pass
3 Ruben Dias
86
PAC59
SHO39
PAS69
DRI69
DEF86
PHY84
Bruiser ★Long Ball Pass
25 Nuno Mendes
86
PAC95
SHO65
PAS76
DRI82
DEF80
PHY77
Quick Step ★AnticipateJockeyPinged Pass
Spain16 Rodri
90
PAC65
SHO80
PAS86
DRI84
DEF86
PHY85
Tiki Taka ★Aerial FortressBruiserLong Ball Pass
20 Pedri
89
PAC77
SHO73
PAS85
DRI91
DEF78
PHY77
First Touch ★Incisive PassLong Ball PassRelentless
19 Lamine Yamal
89
PAC85
SHO81
PAS86
DRI90
DEF23
PHY53
Technical ★Finesse ShotFirst TouchGamechanger
Key players to watch
CDM Spain
Spain16 Rodri
90
PAC65
SHO80
PAS86
DRI84
DEF86
PHY85
Tiki Taka ★Aerial FortressBruiserLong Ball Pass
CM Spain
Spain20 Pedri
89
PAC77
SHO73
PAS85
DRI91
DEF78
PHY77
First Touch ★Incisive PassLong Ball PassRelentless
RM Spain
Spain19 Lamine Yamal
89
PAC85
SHO81
PAS86
DRI90
DEF23
PHY53
Technical ★Finesse ShotFirst TouchGamechanger
CAM Portugal
Portugal8 Bruno Fernandes
87
PAC67
SHO83
PAS89
DRI83
DEF65
PHY75
Relentless ★Dead BallGamechangerIncisive Pass
Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.