Group H · FIFA #2

Spain

Shape 4-3-3Model rating 2199Composite #2 of 48Squad value €1.35BTitle odds 20%

Ruled out: Dani Carvajal, Fermín López, 17 Nico Williams, 11 Yeremy Pino

Second opinion: the six-source composite puts Spain’s title odds at 14% (market 11%, Opta 13%).

Mon, Jun 1512 PM ETFT

Spain#20

Cape Verde#440

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Atlanta

Model

88% ESP9% Draw3% CPV

DraftKings: -1200 · +1100 · +2500

Sun, Jun 2112 PM ETFT

Spain#24

Saudi Arabia#410

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Atlanta

Model

90% ESP8% Draw2% KSA

DraftKings: -1000 · +1000 · +2200

Fri, Jun 268 PM ETFT

Uruguay#150

Spain#21

Estadio Akron · Guadalajara

Model

11% URU21% Draw68% ESP

DraftKings: +475 · +260 · -145

Thu, Jul 23 PM ETFT

Spain#23

Austria#220

SoFi Stadium · Inglewood

Model · to advance

89% ESP11% AUT

FanDuel to adv.: ESP -1200 · AUT +670

Mon, Jul 63 PM ETFT

Portugal#50

Spain#21

AT&T Stadium · Arlington

Model · to advance

34% POR66% ESP

FanDuel to adv.: POR +180 · ESP -225

Fri, Jul 103 PM ETFT

Spain#22

Belgium#91

SoFi Stadium · Inglewood

Model · to advance

79% ESP21% BEL

Live odds not yet available

Tue, Jul 143 PM ETFOX

France#3

Spain#2

AT&T Stadium · Arlington

Model · to advance

49% FRA51% ESP

Live odds not yet available

Round-by-round odds come from simulating the tournament thousands of times with each team’s model rating. Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes; coverage varies by squad.