World Cup 2026  /  Schedule  /  GER v CUW
Group E · Sunday, June 14, 2026

Germany vs Curaçao

🕒 1 PM ET📺 FOX · Telemundo📍 NRG Stadium, Houston

The pick

84% GER12% Draw4% CUW
Model scoreline 2-0Expected goals 2.660.46
DraftKings: GER -3000 · Draw +1400 · CUW +2800Consensus of 2 sources: 79% / 16% / 5%Others’ scoreline: 3-0

Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model. Public consensus from 3 sources: Forebet (model), Dimers (model), Squawka.

Head to head

Expected shapes: Germany 4-2-3-1, Curaçao 4-3-3.

Ruled out: GER — Lennart Karl, Serge Gnabry

Germany
vs
Curaçao
Model rating
20571600
FIFA ranking
#10#82
Title odds
5.7%0.0%
Squad value (top 26)
€994M€14M
Players in top-5 leagues
30
Avg age (XI) · younger left
28.524.9
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
GKDEFMIDATT
GERCUW
Top players
Germany
CDM
Joshua Kimmich
FC Bayern München · 31y
89
PAC72
SHO74
PAS89
DRI84
DEF83
PHY79
Long Ball Pass ★AnticipateFinesse ShotPress Proven
CAM
Florian Wirtz
Liverpool · 22y
89
PAC80
SHO82
PAS88
DRI90
DEF54
PHY67
Incisive Pass ★Chip ShotFinesse ShotFirst Touch
CAM
Jamal Musiala
FC Bayern München · 23y
88
PAC80
SHO82
PAS80
DRI90
DEF66
PHY65
Technical ★GamechangerIncisive PassInventive
Curaçao
CAM
Tahith Chong
Sheffield Utd · 26y
71
PAC77
SHO66
PAS70
DRI73
DEF54
PHY63
Inventive
CDM
Juninho Bacuna
Gaziantep · 28y
69
PAC73
SHO68
PAS69
DRI72
DEF63
PHY76
Long Ball Pass
RB
Shurandy Sambo
Sparta Rotterdam · 24y
68
PAC78
SHO45
PAS59
DRI67
DEF63
PHY72
Block

Key players to watch

CDM Germany
Joshua Kimmich
FC Bayern München · 31y
89
PAC72
SHO74
PAS89
DRI84
DEF83
PHY79
Long Ball Pass ★AnticipateFinesse ShotPress Proven
CAM Germany
Florian Wirtz
Liverpool · 22y
89
PAC80
SHO82
PAS88
DRI90
DEF54
PHY67
Incisive Pass ★Chip ShotFinesse ShotFirst Touch
CAM Germany
Jamal Musiala
FC Bayern München · 23y
88
PAC80
SHO82
PAS80
DRI90
DEF66
PHY65
Technical ★GamechangerIncisive PassInventive
CAM Curaçao
Tahith Chong
Sheffield Utd · 26y
71
PAC77
SHO66
PAS70
DRI73
DEF54
PHY63
Inventive

Storylines

Germany vs Curacao: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Stats

A David-and-Goliath Group E opener in Houston: four-time champions Germany against Curacao, the smallest nation by population ever to reach a World Cup; bet365 priced Germany at -3300 with the value in the goals and margin markets.

Squawka · 2026-06-04

Germany vs. Curacao prediction revised following 2026 World Cup squads revealed

Dimers refreshed its model after squad announcements, giving Germany a 90.1% win probability and projecting a comfortable, multi-goal opener against debutants Curacao.

Dimers · 2026-06-05
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Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.