Final: TUR 0–1 PAR🕒 11 PM ET📺 FS1 · Telemundo📍 Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara
The pick
52% TUR28% Draw21% PAR
Model scoreline 1-0Expected goals 1.48 – 0.84
Composite of 2 sources — DraftKings, our model
47% TUR29% Draw24% PAR
DraftKings: TUR +125 · Draw +220 · PAR +245
Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model. The composite averages every source we track for this match — see composite ratings for the full method.
Head to head
Expected shapes: Turkey 4-2-3-1, Paraguay 4-4-2.
Turkey
vs
Paraguay
Model rating
19401792
FIFA ranking
#20#33
Title odds
0.0%0.0%
Squad value (top 26)
€436M€82M
Players in top-5 leagues
43
Avg age (XI) · younger left
26.828.7
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
TURPAR
Top players
Turkey
CDM
10 Hakan Calhanoglu
Lombardia FC · 32y
86
PAC71
SHO81
PAS87
DRI82
DEF81
PHY73
Incisive Pass ★Dead BallFirst TouchInventive
CM
6 Orkun Kokcu
Beşiktaş · 25y
82
PAC72
SHO80
PAS84
DRI80
DEF70
PHY79
Dead BallFinesse ShotIncisive PassPower Shot
RM
8 Arda Guler
Real Madrid · 21y
81
PAC70
SHO77
PAS83
DRI83
DEF52
PHY50
Finesse ShotIncisive PassInventiveTechnical
Paraguay
CB
3 Omar Alderete
Sunderland · 29y
78
PAC60
SHO61
PAS62
DRI69
DEF79
PHY78
Aerial FortressLong Ball PassPrecision Header
RW
10 Miguel Almiron
Atlanta United · 32y
76
PAC87
SHO72
PAS70
DRI79
DEF57
PHY64
Finesse ShotQuick StepRapidRelentless
ST
9 Antonio Sanabria
Cremonese · 30y
76
PAC75
SHO75
PAS68
DRI79
DEF32
PHY57
Key players to watch
CDM Turkey
10 Hakan Calhanoglu
Lombardia FC · 32y
86
PAC71
SHO81
PAS87
DRI82
DEF81
PHY73
Incisive Pass ★Dead BallFirst TouchInventive
CM Turkey
6 Orkun Kokcu
Beşiktaş · 25y
82
PAC72
SHO80
PAS84
DRI80
DEF70
PHY79
Dead BallFinesse ShotIncisive PassPower Shot
RM Turkey
8 Arda Guler
Real Madrid · 21y
81
PAC70
SHO77
PAS83
DRI83
DEF52
PHY50
Finesse ShotIncisive PassInventiveTechnical
CB Paraguay
3 Omar Alderete
Sunderland · 29y
78
PAC60
SHO61
PAS62
DRI69
DEF79
PHY78
Aerial FortressLong Ball PassPrecision Header
Projected XIs
Most-likely starting elevens based on recent selections.
Turkey
1A Bayindir
2M Zeki Celik
3S Akaydin
4M Demiral
5C Söyüncü
6F Kadioglu
7I Kahveci
8S Özcan
9O Kokcu
10B Yilmaz
11D Gül
Paraguay
1O Gill
2J Cáceres
3G Gómez
4O Alderete
5J Alonso
6D Gómez
7D Bobadilla
8B Ojeda
9M Almirón
10G Ávalos
11J Enciso
Storylines
World Cup 2026: Group D Predictions and Preview
Turkiye return to the World Cup for the first time since 2002, leaning on a 12-man scoring spread in qualifying and Kenan Yildiz's creativity. Paraguay haven't conceded more than one goal in any of their last 10 World Cup matches, banking on defensive resilience to grind out points.
Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.
Turkey vs Paraguay 