Final: NOR 3–2 SEN🕒 8 PM ET📺 FOX · Telemundo📍 MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
The pick
42% NOR30% Draw28% SEN
Model scoreline 1-1Expected goals 1.26 – 0.98
Composite of 2 sources — DraftKings, our model
43% NOR28% Draw28% SEN
DraftKings: NOR +115 · Draw +260 · SEN +240
Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model. The composite averages every source we track for this match — see composite ratings for the full method.
Head to head
Expected shapes: Norway 4-3-3, Senegal 4-3-3.
Ruled out: SEN — 16 Edouard Mendy
Norway
vs
Senegal
Model rating
19591894
FIFA ranking
#28#14
Title odds
0.0%0.0%
Squad value (top 26)
€477M€286M
Players in top-5 leagues
77
Avg age (XI) · younger left
26.727.7
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
NORSEN
Top players
Norway
ST
9 Erling Haaland
Manchester City · 25y
90
PAC86
SHO91
PAS70
DRI80
DEF45
PHY88
Low Driven Shot ★AcrobaticChip ShotEnforcer
CM
10 Martin Odegaard
Arsenal · 27y
87
PAC68
SHO79
PAS88
DRI87
DEF67
PHY65
Incisive Pass ★First TouchInventivePinged Pass
ST
7 Alexander Sorloth
Atlético de Madrid · 30y
84
PAC77
SHO82
PAS71
DRI76
DEF36
PHY85
EnforcerGamechangerLow Driven ShotPower Shot
Senegal
LM
10 Sadio Mane
Al Nassr · 33y
83
PAC82
SHO81
PAS78
DRI85
DEF44
PHY75
Aerial FortressGamechangerLow Driven ShotRapid
CB
3 Kalidou Koulibaly
Al Hilal · 34y
82
PAC74
SHO48
PAS62
DRI65
DEF82
PHY84
Aerial FortressAnticipateBlockBruiser
GK
16 Edouard Mendy
Al Ahli · 34y
80
PAC78
SHO77
PAS75
DRI81
DEF34
PHY79
Cross ClaimerFootwork
Key players to watch
ST Norway
9 Erling Haaland
Manchester City · 25y
90
PAC86
SHO91
PAS70
DRI80
DEF45
PHY88
Low Driven Shot ★AcrobaticChip ShotEnforcer
CM Norway
10 Martin Odegaard
Arsenal · 27y
87
PAC68
SHO79
PAS88
DRI87
DEF67
PHY65
Incisive Pass ★First TouchInventivePinged Pass
ST Norway
7 Alexander Sorloth
Atlético de Madrid · 30y
84
PAC77
SHO82
PAS71
DRI76
DEF36
PHY85
EnforcerGamechangerLow Driven ShotPower Shot
LM Senegal
10 Sadio Mane
Al Nassr · 33y
83
PAC82
SHO81
PAS78
DRI85
DEF44
PHY75
Aerial FortressGamechangerLow Driven ShotRapid
Projected XIs
Most-likely starting elevens based on recent selections.
Norway
1Ø Nyland
2M Pedersen
3K Ajer
4L Ostigard
5F Bjørkan
6S Berge
7A Sørloth
8K Thorstvedt
9M Thorsby
10A Nusa
11E Haaland
Senegal
16Edouard Mendy
2Mamadou Sarr
19Moussa Niakhate
25El Hadji Malick Diouf
5Pape Alassane Gueye
5Idrissa Gana Gueye
8Lamine Camara
15Krepin Diatta
10Sadio Mane
11Nicolas Jackson
13Iliman Ndiaye
Storylines
2026 FIFA World Cup: Group I preview, what to know
Norway vs Senegal is framed as the real battle for second place behind France, with both sides expected to beat Iraq and effectively meeting to decide automatic qualification.
World Cup 2026 Group I Preview: France, Senegal, Iraq & Norway
Senegal carry injury concerns over Koulibaly and Gueye into a second-place shootout with Haaland's Norway, who posted the best qualifying record in UEFA.
Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.
Norway vs Senegal 