Final: FRA 3–0 IRQ🕒 5 PM ET📺 FOX · Telemundo📍 Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
The pick
86% FRA10% Draw3% IRQ
Model scoreline 2-0Expected goals 2.87 – 0.43
Composite of 2 sources — DraftKings, our model
86% FRA11% Draw4% IRQ
DraftKings: FRA -800 · Draw +800 · IRQ +2500
Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model. The composite averages every source we track for this match — see composite ratings for the full method.
Head to head
Expected shapes: France 4-2-3-1, Iraq 4-2-3-1.
Ruled out: FRA — Hugo Ekitike, 17 William Saliba · IRQ — Ahmed Yahya
France
vs
Iraq
Model rating
21731678
FIFA ranking
#3#39
Title odds
0.0%0.0%
Squad value (top 26)
€1.36B€14M
Players in top-5 leagues
80
Avg age (XI) · younger left
26.323.6
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
FRAIRQ
Top players
France
ST
10 Kylian Mbappe
Real Madrid · 27y
91
PAC97
SHO90
PAS81
DRI92
DEF37
PHY76
Quick Step ★AcrobaticFinesse ShotFirst Touch
ST
7 Ousmane Dembele
Paris SG · 28y
90
PAC91
SHO88
PAS83
DRI93
DEF50
PHY69
Rapid ★InventiveLow Driven ShotPinged Pass
GK
16 Mike Maignan
Milano FC · 30y
87
PAC84
SHO83
PAS85
DRI88
DEF64
PHY84
Far Throw ★DeflectorFootworkLong Ball Pass
Iraq
LB
23 Merchas Doski
Viktoria Plzeň · 26y
68
PAC75
SHO54
PAS65
DRI71
DEF62
PHY62
CDM
14 Zidane Iqbal
FC Utrecht · 22y
68
PAC64
SHO60
PAS64
DRI73
DEF63
PHY62
Technical
LM
8 Ibrahim Bayesh
Al Riyadh · 25y
68
PAC79
SHO67
PAS60
DRI69
DEF58
PHY75
Key players to watch
ST France
10 Kylian Mbappe
Real Madrid · 27y
91
PAC97
SHO90
PAS81
DRI92
DEF37
PHY76
Quick Step ★AcrobaticFinesse ShotFirst Touch
ST France
7 Ousmane Dembele
Paris SG · 28y
90
PAC91
SHO88
PAS83
DRI93
DEF50
PHY69
Rapid ★InventiveLow Driven ShotPinged Pass
GK France
16 Mike Maignan
Milano FC · 30y
87
PAC84
SHO83
PAS85
DRI88
DEF64
PHY84
Far Throw ★DeflectorFootworkLong Ball Pass
LB Iraq
23 Merchas Doski
Viktoria Plzeň · 26y
68
PAC75
SHO54
PAS65
DRI71
DEF62
PHY62
Storylines
France Football Team 2026 World Cup Preview: Can Mbappe And Dembele Secure Their Second Title?
France are heavy favourites in every group match, with Mbappe captaining at his third finals and within striking distance of Klose's World Cup goals record.
Opta notes Iraq lost all three matches at their only prior World Cup (1986) and are given just a 27.1% chance of advancing, making France clear favourites.
Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.
France vs Iraq 