World Cup 2026  /  Schedule  /  PAN v CRO
Group L · Tuesday, June 23, 2026

Panama vs Croatia

🕒 7 PM ET📺 FOX · Telemundo📍 BMO Field, Toronto

The pick

23% PAN29% Draw48% CRO
Model scoreline 0-1Expected goals 0.891.39
DraftKings: PAN +600 · Draw +295 · CRO -185

Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model.

Head to head

Expected shapes: Panama 4-2-3-1, Croatia 4-3-3.

Panama
vs
Croatia
Model rating
18481966
FIFA ranking
#33#11
Title odds
0.2%1.6%
Squad value (top 26)
€15M€343M
Players in top-5 leagues
38
Avg age (XI) · younger left
28.730.0
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
GKDEFMIDATT
PANCRO
Top players
Panama
RB
Amir Murillo
OM · 30y
76
PAC84
SHO57
PAS70
DRI71
DEF70
PHY76
GK
Luis Mejia
Nacional · 35y
72
PAC69
SHO67
PAS68
DRI75
DEF52
PHY71
Footwork
GK
Orlando Mosquera
Al Fayha · 31y
70
PAC73
SHO68
PAS69
DRI71
DEF32
PHY65
Footwork
Croatia
LB
Josko Gvardiol
Manchester City · 24y
84
PAC78
SHO71
PAS75
DRI78
DEF84
PHY82
Block ★JockeyLow Driven ShotPinged Pass
CM
Luka Modric
Milano FC · 40y
83
PAC68
SHO74
PAS86
DRI86
DEF70
PHY62
Incisive PassLong Ball PassTechnicalWhipped Pass
CM
Mateo Kovacic
Manchester City · 31y
83
PAC67
SHO74
PAS81
DRI83
DEF73
PHY72
Incisive PassPress Proven

Key players to watch

LB Croatia
Josko Gvardiol
Manchester City · 24y
84
PAC78
SHO71
PAS75
DRI78
DEF84
PHY82
Block ★JockeyLow Driven ShotPinged Pass
CM Croatia
Luka Modric
Milano FC · 40y
83
PAC68
SHO74
PAS86
DRI86
DEF70
PHY62
Incisive PassLong Ball PassTechnicalWhipped Pass
CM Croatia
Mateo Kovacic
Manchester City · 31y
83
PAC67
SHO74
PAS81
DRI83
DEF73
PHY72
Incisive PassPress Proven
RB Panama
Amir Murillo
OM · 30y
76
PAC84
SHO57
PAS70
DRI71
DEF70
PHY76

Projected XIs

Most-likely starting elevens based on recent selections.

Panama
  • 1O Mosquera
  • 2C Harvey
  • 3J Ramos
  • 4J Córdoba
  • 5M Murillo
  • 6A Godoy
  • 7A Carrasquilla
  • 8J Gutiérrez
  • 9J Rodriguez
  • 10I Diaz
  • 11J Kadir
Croatia
  • 1D Livakovic
  • 2J Stanisic
  • 3J Sutalo
  • 4L Vuskovic
  • 5D Caleta-Car
  • 6I Perisic
  • 7A Kramaric
  • 8L Modric
  • 9P Sucic
  • 10M Baturina
  • 11A Budimir

Storylines

World Cup 2026: Group L Predictions and Preview

Opta gives Croatia a 76.9% chance of reaching the knockout phase; the feast-or-famine Croatians lean on Modric and Ivan Perisic, while Panama remain the group's longest shots at 40.0% to advance.

Opta Analyst · 2026-06-04
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Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.