BBracketResearch
World Cup 2026  /  Schedule  /  SEN v IRQ
Group I · Friday, June 26, 2026

Senegal vs Iraq

Final: SEN 5–0 IRQ🕒 3 PM ET📺 FS1 · Telemundo📍 BMO Field, Toronto

The pick

60% SEN25% Draw16% IRQ
Model scoreline 1-0Expected goals 1.68 – 0.74
Composite of 2 sources — DraftKings, our model
68% SEN20% Draw12% IRQ
DraftKings: SEN -425 · Draw +550 · IRQ +1100

Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model. The composite averages every source we track for this match — see composite ratings for the full method.

Head to head

Expected shapes: Senegal 4-3-3, Iraq 4-2-3-1.

Ruled out: SEN — 16 Edouard Mendy · IRQ — Ahmed Yahya

Senegal
vs
Iraq
Model rating
18941678
FIFA ranking
#14#39
Title odds
0.0%0.0%
Squad value (top 26)
€286M€14M
Players in top-5 leagues
70
Avg age (XI) · younger left
27.723.6
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
GKDEFMIDATT
SENIRQ
Top players
Senegal
LM
10 Sadio Mane
Al Nassr · 33y
83
PAC82
SHO81
PAS78
DRI85
DEF44
PHY75
Aerial FortressGamechangerLow Driven ShotRapid
CB
3 Kalidou Koulibaly
Al Hilal · 34y
82
PAC74
SHO48
PAS62
DRI65
DEF82
PHY84
Aerial FortressAnticipateBlockBruiser
GK
16 Edouard Mendy
Al Ahli · 34y
80
PAC78
SHO77
PAS75
DRI81
DEF34
PHY79
Cross ClaimerFootwork
Iraq
LB
23 Merchas Doski
Viktoria Plzeň · 26y
68
PAC75
SHO54
PAS65
DRI71
DEF62
PHY62
CDM
14 Zidane Iqbal
FC Utrecht · 22y
68
PAC64
SHO60
PAS64
DRI73
DEF63
PHY62
Technical
LM
8 Ibrahim Bayesh
Al Riyadh · 25y
68
PAC79
SHO67
PAS60
DRI69
DEF58
PHY75

Key players to watch

LM Senegal
10 Sadio Mane
Al Nassr · 33y
83
PAC82
SHO81
PAS78
DRI85
DEF44
PHY75
Aerial FortressGamechangerLow Driven ShotRapid
CB Senegal
3 Kalidou Koulibaly
Al Hilal · 34y
82
PAC74
SHO48
PAS62
DRI65
DEF82
PHY84
Aerial FortressAnticipateBlockBruiser
GK Senegal
16 Edouard Mendy
Al Ahli · 34y
80
PAC78
SHO77
PAS75
DRI81
DEF34
PHY79
Cross ClaimerFootwork
LB Iraq
23 Merchas Doski
Viktoria Plzeň · 26y
68
PAC75
SHO54
PAS65
DRI71
DEF62
PHY62

Storylines

World Cup 2026: Group I Predictions and Preview

Senegal, quarter-finalists in 2002, are expected to beat Iraq, with Sadio Mane back available after missing the 2022 World Cup through injury.

Opta Analyst · 2026-06-04

2026 FIFA World Cup: Group I preview, what to know

Iraq, back at a World Cup for the first time since 1986, face a Senegal side likely needing a win to secure progression on the final matchday.

MLSSoccer.com · 2026-06-04
← Back to schedule

Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.