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The pick
16% NOR25% Draw60% FRA
Model scoreline 0-1Expected goals 0.73 – 1.68
DraftKings: NOR +350 · Draw +265 · FRA -125
Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model.
Head to head
Expected shapes: Norway 4-3-3, France 4-2-3-1.
Ruled out: FRA — Hugo Ekitike
Norway
vs
France
Model rating
19342150
FIFA ranking
#31#1
Title odds
0.9%17.6%
Squad value (top 26)
€477M€1.36B
Players in top-5 leagues
78
Avg age (XI) · younger left
26.726.3
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
NORFRA
Top players
Norway
ST
Erling Haaland
Manchester City · 25y
90
PAC86
SHO91
PAS70
DRI80
DEF45
PHY88
Low Driven Shot ★AcrobaticChip ShotEnforcer
CM
Martin Odegaard
Arsenal · 27y
87
PAC68
SHO79
PAS88
DRI87
DEF67
PHY65
Incisive Pass ★First TouchInventivePinged Pass
ST
Alexander Sorloth
Atlético de Madrid · 30y
84
PAC77
SHO82
PAS71
DRI76
DEF36
PHY85
EnforcerGamechangerLow Driven ShotPower Shot
France
ST
Kylian Mbappe
Real Madrid · 27y
91
PAC97
SHO90
PAS81
DRI92
DEF37
PHY76
Quick Step ★AcrobaticFinesse ShotFirst Touch
ST
Ousmane Dembele
Paris SG · 28y
90
PAC91
SHO88
PAS83
DRI93
DEF50
PHY69
Rapid ★InventiveLow Driven ShotPinged Pass
GK
Mike Maignan
Milano FC · 30y
87
PAC84
SHO83
PAS85
DRI88
DEF64
PHY84
Far Throw ★DeflectorFootworkLong Ball Pass
Key players to watch
ST France
Kylian Mbappe
Real Madrid · 27y
91
PAC97
SHO90
PAS81
DRI92
DEF37
PHY76
Quick Step ★AcrobaticFinesse ShotFirst Touch
ST Norway
Erling Haaland
Manchester City · 25y
90
PAC86
SHO91
PAS70
DRI80
DEF45
PHY88
Low Driven Shot ★AcrobaticChip ShotEnforcer
ST France
Ousmane Dembele
Paris SG · 28y
90
PAC91
SHO88
PAS83
DRI93
DEF50
PHY69
Rapid ★InventiveLow Driven ShotPinged Pass
CM Norway
Martin Odegaard
Arsenal · 27y
87
PAC68
SHO79
PAS88
DRI87
DEF67
PHY65
Incisive Pass ★First TouchInventivePinged Pass
Projected XIs
Most-likely starting elevens based on recent selections.
Norway
1Ø Nyland
2M Pedersen
3K Ajer
4L Ostigard
5F Bjørkan
6S Berge
7A Sørloth
8K Thorstvedt
9M Thorsby
10A Nusa
11E Haaland
France
1B Samba
2P Kalulu Kyatengwa
3M Lacroix
4L Hernandez
5L Digne
6W Zaire-Emery
7N Kanté
8M Akliouche
9M Cherki
10D Doué
11M Thuram
Storylines
Mbappe vs Haaland: The World Cup group stage clash that defines a new era
France vs Norway puts Kylian Mbappe and Erling Haaland on the same pitch for the first time at a World Cup, in a fixture billed as the standout group-stage match and a likely group decider.
World Cup 2026, Group I: Mbappe, Haaland and a return
Preview of Group I centred on the Mbappe vs Haaland showdown and Norway's return to the World Cup, with the June 26 meeting potentially deciding the group winner.
Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.
Norway vs France 