World Cup 2026 / Schedule / POR v CRO
Round of 32 · Thursday, July 2, 2026
Portugal vs Croatia 
The pick
Model probability to advance
70% POR30% CRO
Composite of 1 sources — our model
70% POR0% Draw30% CRO
Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model. The composite averages every source we track for this match — see composite ratings for the full method.
Head to head
Expected shapes: Portugal 4-3-3, Croatia 4-3-3.
Portugalvs
Croatia
Model rating
FIFA ranking
Title odds
Squad value (top 26)
Players in top-5 leagues
Avg age (XI) · younger left
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
PORCRO
Top players
Portugal8 Bruno Fernandes
87
PAC67
SHO83
PAS89
DRI83
DEF65
PHY75
Relentless ★Dead BallGamechangerIncisive Pass
3 Ruben Dias
86
PAC59
SHO39
PAS69
DRI69
DEF86
PHY84
Bruiser ★Long Ball Pass
25 Nuno Mendes
86
PAC95
SHO65
PAS76
DRI82
DEF80
PHY77
Quick Step ★AnticipateJockeyPinged Pass
Croatia4 Josko Gvardiol
84
PAC78
SHO71
PAS75
DRI78
DEF84
PHY82
Block ★JockeyLow Driven ShotPinged Pass
10 Luka Modric
83
PAC68
SHO74
PAS86
DRI86
DEF70
PHY62
Incisive PassLong Ball PassTechnicalWhipped Pass
8 Mateo Kovacic
83
PAC67
SHO74
PAS81
DRI83
DEF73
PHY72
Incisive PassPress Proven
Key players to watch
CAM Portugal
Portugal8 Bruno Fernandes
87
PAC67
SHO83
PAS89
DRI83
DEF65
PHY75
Relentless ★Dead BallGamechangerIncisive Pass
CB Portugal
Portugal3 Ruben Dias
86
PAC59
SHO39
PAS69
DRI69
DEF86
PHY84
Bruiser ★Long Ball Pass
LB Portugal
Portugal25 Nuno Mendes
86
PAC95
SHO65
PAS76
DRI82
DEF80
PHY77
Quick Step ★AnticipateJockeyPinged Pass
LB Croatia
Croatia4 Josko Gvardiol
84
PAC78
SHO71
PAS75
DRI78
DEF84
PHY82
Block ★JockeyLow Driven ShotPinged Pass
Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.