World Cup 2026 / Schedule / BEL v SEN
Round of 32 · Wednesday, July 1, 2026
Belgium vs Senegal 
The pick
Model probability to advance
68% BEL32% SEN
Composite of 1 sources — our model
68% BEL0% Draw32% SEN
Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model. The composite averages every source we track for this match — see composite ratings for the full method.
Head to head
Expected shapes: Belgium 4-2-3-1, Senegal 4-3-3.
Ruled out: BEL — 24 Amadou Onana, 8 Youri Tielemans, 1 Thibaut Courtois · SEN — 16 Edouard Mendy
vs
Senegal
Model rating
FIFA ranking
Title odds
Squad value (top 26)
Players in top-5 leagues
Avg age (XI) · younger left
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
BELSEN
Top players
1 Thibaut Courtois
89
PAC85
SHO89
PAS76
DRI90
DEF46
PHY88
Cross Claimer ★Far ThrowRush Out
7 Kevin De Bruyne
87
PAC66
SHO83
PAS92
DRI84
DEF65
PHY72
Whipped Pass ★Dead BallIncisive PassInventive
8 Youri Tielemans
85
PAC54
SHO79
PAS85
DRI80
DEF75
PHY72
Pinged Pass ★Incisive PassPower ShotPress Proven
10 Sadio Mane
83
PAC82
SHO81
PAS78
DRI85
DEF44
PHY75
Aerial FortressGamechangerLow Driven ShotRapid
3 Kalidou Koulibaly
82
PAC74
SHO48
PAS62
DRI65
DEF82
PHY84
Aerial FortressAnticipateBlockBruiser
16 Edouard Mendy
80
PAC78
SHO77
PAS75
DRI81
DEF34
PHY79
Cross ClaimerFootwork
Key players to watch
1 Thibaut Courtois
89
PAC85
SHO89
PAS76
DRI90
DEF46
PHY88
Cross Claimer ★Far ThrowRush Out
7 Kevin De Bruyne
87
PAC66
SHO83
PAS92
DRI84
DEF65
PHY72
Whipped Pass ★Dead BallIncisive PassInventive
8 Youri Tielemans
85
PAC54
SHO79
PAS85
DRI80
DEF75
PHY72
Pinged Pass ★Incisive PassPower ShotPress Proven
10 Sadio Mane
83
PAC82
SHO81
PAS78
DRI85
DEF44
PHY75
Aerial FortressGamechangerLow Driven ShotRapid
Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.