🕒 3 PM ET📺 FOX · Telemundo📍 MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
The pick
62% FRA24% Draw14% SEN
Model scoreline 1-0Expected goals 1.76 – 0.7
DraftKings: FRA -215 · Draw +350 · SEN +600Consensus of 2 sources: 55% / 21% / 24%Others’ scoreline: 2-0
Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model. Public consensus from 2 sources: Forebet (model), Dimers (model).
Head to head
Expected shapes: France 4-2-3-1, Senegal 4-3-3.
Ruled out: FRA — Hugo Ekitike
France
vs
Senegal
Model rating
21501911
FIFA ranking
#1#13
Title odds
17.6%0.5%
Squad value (top 26)
€1.36B€286M
Players in top-5 leagues
87
Avg age (XI) · younger left
26.327.7
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
FRASEN
Top players
France
ST
Kylian Mbappe
Real Madrid · 27y
91
PAC97
SHO90
PAS81
DRI92
DEF37
PHY76
Quick Step ★AcrobaticFinesse ShotFirst Touch
ST
Ousmane Dembele
Paris SG · 28y
90
PAC91
SHO88
PAS83
DRI93
DEF50
PHY69
Rapid ★InventiveLow Driven ShotPinged Pass
GK
Mike Maignan
Milano FC · 30y
87
PAC84
SHO83
PAS85
DRI88
DEF64
PHY84
Far Throw ★DeflectorFootworkLong Ball Pass
Senegal
LM
Sadio Mane
Al Nassr · 33y
83
PAC82
SHO81
PAS78
DRI85
DEF44
PHY75
Aerial FortressGamechangerLow Driven ShotRapid
CB
Kalidou Koulibaly
Al Hilal · 34y
82
PAC74
SHO48
PAS62
DRI65
DEF82
PHY84
Aerial FortressAnticipateBlockBruiser
GK
Edouard Mendy
Al Ahli · 34y
80
PAC78
SHO77
PAS75
DRI81
DEF34
PHY79
Cross ClaimerFootwork
Key players to watch
ST France
Kylian Mbappe
Real Madrid · 27y
91
PAC97
SHO90
PAS81
DRI92
DEF37
PHY76
Quick Step ★AcrobaticFinesse ShotFirst Touch
ST France
Ousmane Dembele
Paris SG · 28y
90
PAC91
SHO88
PAS83
DRI93
DEF50
PHY69
Rapid ★InventiveLow Driven ShotPinged Pass
GK France
Mike Maignan
Milano FC · 30y
87
PAC84
SHO83
PAS85
DRI88
DEF64
PHY84
Far Throw ★DeflectorFootworkLong Ball Pass
LM Senegal
Sadio Mane
Al Nassr · 33y
83
PAC82
SHO81
PAS78
DRI85
DEF44
PHY75
Aerial FortressGamechangerLow Driven ShotRapid
Projected XIs
Most-likely starting elevens based on recent selections.
France
1B Samba
2P Kalulu Kyatengwa
3M Lacroix
4L Hernandez
5L Digne
6W Zaire-Emery
7N Kanté
8M Akliouche
9M Cherki
10D Doué
11M Thuram
Senegal
1Edouard Mendy
2Mamadou Sarr
3Moussa Niakhate
4El Hadji Malick Diouf
5Pape Alassane Gueye
6Idrissa Gana Gueye
7Lamine Camara
8Krepin Diatta
9Sadio Mane
10Nicolas Jackson
11Iliman Ndiaye
Storylines
World Cup 2026: Group I Predictions and Preview
France enter as second favourites to win the World Cup (13.0%) but face a tough Group I; Mbappe needs one goal to equal Just Fontaine as France's all-time top World Cup scorer.
2026 FIFA World Cup: Group I preview, what to know
France open against Senegal in a rematch of the famous 2002 opener, when Papa Bouba Diop's goal earned Senegal a 1-0 upset over the reigning champions.
Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.