Group I · FIFA #3

France

Shape 4-2-3-1Model rating 2190Composite #1 of 48Squad value €1.36BTitle odds 31%

Ruled out: Hugo Ekitike, 9 Marcus Thuram

Second opinion: the six-source composite puts France’s title odds at 28% (market 27%, Opta 30%).

Tue, Jun 163 PM ETFT

France#33

Senegal#141

MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford

Model

71% FRA20% Draw10% SEN

DraftKings: -210 · +340 · +600

Mon, Jun 225 PM ETFT

France#33

Iraq#390

Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia

Model

89% FRA9% Draw2% IRQ

DraftKings: -800 · +800 · +2500

Fri, Jun 263 PM ETFT

Norway#281

France#34

Gillette Stadium · Foxborough

Model

14% NOR24% Draw61% FRA

DraftKings: +475 · +390 · -195

Tue, Jun 305 PM ETFT

France#33

Sweden#310

MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford

Model · to advance

91% FRA9% SWE

FanDuel to adv.: FRA -950 · SWE +600

Sat, Jul 45 PM ETFT

Paraguay#330

France#31

Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia

Model · to advance

7% PAR93% FRA

Live odds not yet available

Thu, Jul 94 PM ETFT

France#32

Morocco#70

Gillette Stadium · Foxborough

Model · to advance

82% FRA18% MAR

Live odds not yet available

Tue, Jul 143 PM ETFOX

France#3

Spain#2

AT&T Stadium · Arlington

Model · to advance

49% FRA51% ESP

Live odds not yet available

Round-by-round odds come from simulating the tournament thousands of times with each team’s model rating. Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes; coverage varies by squad.