Final: POR 1–1 COD🕒 1 PM ET📺 FOX · Telemundo📍 NRG Stadium, Houston
The pick
69% POR21% Draw10% COD
Model scoreline 2-0Expected goals 1.96 – 0.63
Composite of 4 sources — DraftKings, our model, Dimers, Forebet
69% POR20% Draw11% COD
DraftKings: POR -350 · Draw +475 · COD +1000Consensus of 2 sources: 66% / 21% / 12%Others’ scoreline: 2-0
Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model. The composite averages every source we track for this match — see composite ratings for the full method. Public consensus from 2 sources: Forebet (model), Dimers (model).
Head to head
Expected shapes: Portugal 4-3-3, DR Congo 4-2-3-1.
Ruled out: COD — Rocky Bushiri
Portugal
vs
DR Congo
Model rating
20931796
FIFA ranking
#5#36
Title odds
0.0%0.0%
Squad value (top 26)
€980M€131M
Players in top-5 leagues
79
Avg age (XI) · younger left
27.827.5
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
PORCOD
Top players
Portugal
CAM
8 Bruno Fernandes
Man Utd · 31y
87
PAC67
SHO83
PAS89
DRI83
DEF65
PHY75
Relentless ★Dead BallGamechangerIncisive Pass
CB
3 Ruben Dias
Manchester City · 28y
86
PAC59
SHO39
PAS69
DRI69
DEF86
PHY84
Bruiser ★Long Ball Pass
LB
25 Nuno Mendes
Paris SG · 23y
86
PAC95
SHO65
PAS76
DRI82
DEF80
PHY77
Quick Step ★AnticipateJockeyPinged Pass
DR Congo
ST
20 Yoane Wissa
Newcastle Utd · 29y
82
PAC85
SHO82
PAS70
DRI80
DEF31
PHY71
AcrobaticGamechangerLow Driven ShotRapid
ST
23 Simon Banza
SC Braga · 29y
81
PAC79
SHO81
PAS62
DRI77
DEF36
PHY79
AcrobaticAerial FortressFirst TouchPress Proven
RB
2 Aaron Wan-Bissaka
West Ham · 28y
80
PAC80
SHO51
PAS69
DRI77
DEF78
PHY73
Slide Tackle ★AnticipateBlockIntercept
Key players to watch
CAM Portugal
8 Bruno Fernandes
Man Utd · 31y
87
PAC67
SHO83
PAS89
DRI83
DEF65
PHY75
Relentless ★Dead BallGamechangerIncisive Pass
CB Portugal
3 Ruben Dias
Manchester City · 28y
86
PAC59
SHO39
PAS69
DRI69
DEF86
PHY84
Bruiser ★Long Ball Pass
LB Portugal
25 Nuno Mendes
Paris SG · 23y
86
PAC95
SHO65
PAS76
DRI82
DEF80
PHY77
Quick Step ★AnticipateJockeyPinged Pass
ST DR Congo
20 Yoane Wissa
Newcastle Utd · 29y
82
PAC85
SHO82
PAS70
DRI80
DEF31
PHY71
AcrobaticGamechangerLow Driven ShotRapid
Projected XIs
Most-likely starting elevens based on recent selections.
Portugal
1José Sá
5Diogo Dalot
3Tomás Araújo
4Gonçalo Inácio
5João Cancelo
6Samú
23Vitinha
8Trincão
8Bruno Fernandes
18Pedro Neto
11Gonçalo Ramos
DR Congo
1L M'Pasi N'Zau
2A Wan-Bissaka
3C Mbemba
4A Tuanzebe
5A Masuaku
6S Moutoussamy
7T Bongonda
8N Mukau
9N Sadiki
10M Elia
11C Bakambu
Storylines
Cristiano Ronaldo named to record sixth World Cup squad for Portugal
Ronaldo is set to become the first man alongside Messi to appear at six World Cups and is the only player to have scored in five separate tournaments, as Portugal open Group K against DR Congo in Houston.
DR Congo: 2026 World Cup Squad, Fixtures and Schedule
DR Congo return to the World Cup for the first time since competing as Zaire in 1974, a 52-year absence, opening against Ronaldo's Portugal under coach Sebastien Desabre.
Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.