Final: TUN 0–4 JPN🕒 12 AM ET📺 FS1 · Telemundo📍 Estadio Monterrey, Monterrey
The pick
15% TUN25% Draw60% JPN
Model scoreline 0-1Expected goals 0.73 – 1.7
Composite of 2 sources — DraftKings, our model
17% TUN25% Draw58% JPN
DraftKings: TUN +425 · Draw +270 · JPN -140
Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model. The composite averages every source we track for this match — see composite ratings for the full method.
Most-likely starting elevens based on recent selections.
Tunisia
1A Chamakh
2M Neffati
3A Ghram
4O Rekik
5A Abdi
6R Khedira
7E Skhiri
8S Ltaief
9A Ben Slimane
10E Saad
11L Farhat
Japan
1Z Suzuki
2T Watanabe
3S Taniguchi
4H Ito
5R Doan
6K Sano
7D Kamada
8K Nakamura
9J Ito
10K Mitoma
11A Ueda
Storylines
Goals, Growth and a Glass Ceiling: Japan Aiming Higher at 2026 World Cup Despite Key Absences
Japan's attacking, back-three system under Moriyasu and their qualifying goal output make them favourites against Tunisia, who reached the World Cup conceding zero goals in CAF qualifying and rely on a deep, organised block.
Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.
Tunisia vs Japan 