BBracketResearch
World Cup 2026  /  Teams  /  Japan
Group F · FIFA #18

Japan

Shape 3-4-2-1Model rating 1902Squad value €230MTitle odds <1%

Ruled out: Kaoru Mitoma, Takumi Minamino

Model

The path

Full simulation →
Win the group23%
Reach the Round of 3277%
Reach the quarterfinals15%
Reach the semifinals5%
Reach the final2%
Win the World Cup<1%
Fixtures

Schedule

Full schedule →
4 PM ETFOX
Netherlands#7
Japan#18
AT&T Stadium · Arlington
Model pick
NED 51%
12 AM ETFS1
Tunisia#44
Japan#18
Estadio Monterrey · Monterrey
Model pick
JPN 53%
7 PM ETFS1
Japan#18
Sweden#37
AT&T Stadium · Arlington
Model pick
JPN 43%
EA FC 26

Squad strength

Compare vs anyone →
Goalkeeper 74.0Defense 73.5Midfield 78.5Attack 74.718 of 26 players rated
Squad

Top players

All player ratings →
RM
Ritsu Doan
Frankfurt · 27y
82
PAC82
SHO71
PAS78
DRI85
DEF41
PHY64
First TouchInventivePrecision HeaderTechnical
RM
Takefusa Kubo
Real Sociedad · 24y
82
PAC86
SHO77
PAS78
DRI85
DEF40
PHY64
Finesse ShotFirst TouchGamechangerInventive
CDM
Wataru Endo
Liverpool · 33y
79
PAC58
SHO68
PAS71
DRI77
DEF79
PHY73
Press ProvenRelentless
CDM
Kaishu Sano
1. FSV Mainz 05 · 25y
79
PAC79
SHO51
PAS67
DRI76
DEF78
PHY75
Aerial Fortress
LW
Daizen Maeda
Celtic · 28y
79
PAC92
SHO79
PAS70
DRI76
DEF65
PHY79
Relentless ★AcrobaticGamechangerPrecision Header
CB
Hiroki Ito
FC Bayern München · 26y
78
PAC74
SHO57
PAS71
DRI72
DEF80
PHY72
BlockJockey

Round-by-round odds come from simulating the tournament thousands of times with each team’s model rating. Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes; coverage varies by squad.