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World Cup 2026  /  Schedule  /  ESP v KSA
Group H · Sunday, June 21, 2026

Spain vs Saudi Arabia

Final: ESP 4–0 KSA🕒 12 PM ET📺 FOX · Telemundo📍 Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta

The pick

93% ESP6% Draw1% KSA
Model scoreline 3-0Expected goals 3.52 – 0.35
Composite of 2 sources — DraftKings, our model
90% ESP7% Draw3% KSA
DraftKings: ESP -1000 · Draw +1000 · KSA +2200

Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model. The composite averages every source we track for this match — see composite ratings for the full method.

Head to head

Expected shapes: Spain 4-3-3, Saudi Arabia 4-2-3-1.

Ruled out: ESP — Dani Carvajal, Fermín López, 11 Yeremy Pino

Spain
vs
Saudi Arabia
Model rating
22521663
FIFA ranking
#2#41
Title odds
100.0%0.0%
Squad value (top 26)
€1.35B€68M
Players in top-5 leagues
101
Avg age (XI) · younger left
25.529.0
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
GKDEFMIDATT
ESPKSA
Top players
Spain
CDM
16 Rodri
Manchester City · 29y
90
PAC65
SHO80
PAS86
DRI84
DEF86
PHY85
Tiki Taka ★Aerial FortressBruiserLong Ball Pass
CM
20 Pedri
FC Barcelona · 23y
89
PAC77
SHO73
PAS85
DRI91
DEF78
PHY77
First Touch ★Incisive PassLong Ball PassRelentless
RM
19 Lamine Yamal
FC Barcelona · 18y
89
PAC85
SHO81
PAS86
DRI90
DEF23
PHY53
Technical ★Finesse ShotFirst TouchGamechanger
Saudi Arabia
LM
10 Salem Al Dawsari
Al Hilal · 34y
82
PAC87
SHO75
PAS75
DRI84
DEF57
PHY81
AcrobaticFinesse ShotFirst TouchInventive
RB
12 Saud Abdulhamid
RC Lens · 26y
75
PAC86
SHO46
PAS66
DRI71
DEF69
PHY70
Long ThrowQuick StepRapid
CM
7 Musab Al Juwayr
Al Qadsiah · 22y
75
PAC68
SHO67
PAS79
DRI74
DEF56
PHY70

Key players to watch

CDM Spain
16 Rodri
Manchester City · 29y
90
PAC65
SHO80
PAS86
DRI84
DEF86
PHY85
Tiki Taka ★Aerial FortressBruiserLong Ball Pass
CM Spain
20 Pedri
FC Barcelona · 23y
89
PAC77
SHO73
PAS85
DRI91
DEF78
PHY77
First Touch ★Incisive PassLong Ball PassRelentless
RM Spain
19 Lamine Yamal
FC Barcelona · 18y
89
PAC85
SHO81
PAS86
DRI90
DEF23
PHY53
Technical ★Finesse ShotFirst TouchGamechanger
LM Saudi Arabia
10 Salem Al Dawsari
Al Hilal · 34y
82
PAC87
SHO75
PAS75
DRI84
DEF57
PHY81
AcrobaticFinesse ShotFirst TouchInventive

Storylines

Spain coach expects Lamine Yamal to be fit for World Cup opener

De la Fuente expects to manage Yamal's minutes through the group stage, with Barcelona advising limited time early before a fuller role against Saudi Arabia and Uruguay.

ESPN · 2026-06-03

Saudi Arabia Beat Puerto Rico 3-0 in World Cup 2026 Friendly

Saudi Arabia closed their warm-up campaign with a 3-0 win over Puerto Rico, hoping to recapture the form that produced their famous 2022 upset of Argentina.

Asharq Al-Awsat · 2026-06-06
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Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.