Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model. The composite averages every source we track for this match — see composite ratings for the full method. Public consensus from 1 source: PredictionMarketsPicks (model).
Head to head
Expected shapes: Belgium 4-2-3-1, Iran 4-2-3-1.
Ruled out: IRN — Sardar Azmoun
Belgium
vs
Iran
Model rating
19771873
FIFA ranking
#9#19
Title odds
1.6%0.0%
Squad value (top 26)
€548M€13M
Players in top-5 leagues
80
Avg age (XI) · younger left
28.430.5
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
BELIRN
Top players
Belgium
GK
1 Thibaut Courtois
Real Madrid · 33y
89
PAC85
SHO89
PAS76
DRI90
DEF46
PHY88
Cross Claimer ★Far ThrowRush Out
CM
7 Kevin De Bruyne
SSC Napoli · 34y
87
PAC66
SHO83
PAS92
DRI84
DEF65
PHY72
Whipped Pass ★Dead BallIncisive PassInventive
CM
8 Youri Tielemans
Aston Villa · 28y
85
PAC54
SHO79
PAS85
DRI80
DEF75
PHY72
Pinged Pass ★Incisive PassPower ShotPress Proven
Iran
ST
9 Mehdi Taremi
Olympiacos FC · 33y
78
PAC74
SHO78
PAS74
DRI78
DEF38
PHY68
First Touch
CB
22 Seyed Hossein Hosseini
Kayserispor · 29y
68
PAC56
SHO30
PAS46
DRI50
DEF69
PHY75
BlockLong Ball Pass
Key players to watch
GK Belgium
1 Thibaut Courtois
Real Madrid · 33y
89
PAC85
SHO89
PAS76
DRI90
DEF46
PHY88
Cross Claimer ★Far ThrowRush Out
CM Belgium
7 Kevin De Bruyne
SSC Napoli · 34y
87
PAC66
SHO83
PAS92
DRI84
DEF65
PHY72
Whipped Pass ★Dead BallIncisive PassInventive
CM Belgium
8 Youri Tielemans
Aston Villa · 28y
85
PAC54
SHO79
PAS85
DRI80
DEF75
PHY72
Pinged Pass ★Incisive PassPower ShotPress Proven
ST Iran
9 Mehdi Taremi
Olympiacos FC · 33y
78
PAC74
SHO78
PAS74
DRI78
DEF38
PHY68
First Touch
Projected XIs
Most-likely starting elevens based on recent selections.
Belgium
1M Sels
2T Castagne
3K De Winter
4N Ngoy
5M De Cuyper
6A Witsel
7Y Tielemans
8K De Bruyne
9D Lukébakio
10M Godts
11L Openda
Iran
1A Beiranvand
2S Khalilzadeh
3M Mohammadi
4S Ezatolahi
5S Ghoddos
6M Hashemnejad
7S Hardani
8A Alipour
9M Taremi
10M Hosseini
11A Hosseinzadeh
Storylines
2026 FIFA World Cup Group G Odds & Predictions: Belgium, Egypt, Iran & New Zealand
Analysis frames Belgium vs Iran as the fixture that could complicate Belgium's group; Iran 'do not need to win that match, they need to survive it' to keep their second-place hopes alive ahead of a decisive Egypt clash.
Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.