Ecuador vs Germany 
The pick
Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model. The composite averages every source we track for this match — see composite ratings for the full method.
Head to head
Expected shapes: Ecuador 4-2-3-1, Germany 4-2-3-1.
Ruled out: GER — 15 Nico Schlotterbeck, Lennart Karl, Serge Gnabry
Ecuador Ecuador GermanyKey players to watch
Germany Germany Germany EcuadorProjected XIs
Most-likely starting elevens based on recent selections.
Ecuador- 1G Valle
- 2J Ordóñez
- 3F Torres
- 4W Pacho
- 5A Franco
- 6M Caicedo
- 7P Vite
- 8P Estupinan
- 9J Yeboah
- 10E Valencia
- 11G Plata
Germany- 1A Nübel
- 2J Kimmich
- 3J Tah
- 4N Schlotterbeck
- 5N Brown
- 6P Groß
- 7A Stiller
- 8K Havertz
- 9S Gnabry
- 10F Wirtz
- 11N Woltemade
Storylines
2026 FIFA World Cup Group E Odds & Predictions: Germany, Curacao, Ivory Coast & Ecuador
Germany's June 25 finale against Ecuador at MetLife Stadium is the group decider; Ecuador's elite Caicedo-Hincapie-Pacho spine is seen as capable of limiting Germany to one goal, the scenario in which first place becomes genuinely contested.
World Cup 2026: Group E Predictions and Preview
Opta's supercomputer makes Germany clear group favourites (59.9% to top Group E, 96.1% to advance) with Ecuador the second favourite (86.9% to qualify), setting up the June 25 meeting as the likely top-of-group showdown.
Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.