Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model. The composite averages every source we track for this match — see composite ratings for the full method.
Head to head
Expected shapes: Japan 3-4-2-1, Sweden 4-4-2.
Ruled out: JPN — Kaoru Mitoma, Takumi Minamino, 6 Wataru Endo, 8 Takefusa Kubo · SWE — 4 Isak Hien
Most-likely starting elevens based on recent selections.
Japan
1Z Suzuki
2T Watanabe
3S Taniguchi
4H Ito
5R Doan
6K Sano
7D Kamada
8K Nakamura
9J Ito
10K Mitoma
11A Ueda
Sweden
1V Johansson
2E Holm
3G Lagerbielke
4I Hien
5D Svensson
6A Bernhardsson
7J Karlström
8Y Ayari
9A Elanga
10B Nygren
11M Svanberg
Storylines
2026 FIFA World Cup Group F Odds & Predictions: Netherlands, Japan, Sweden & Tunisia
Sportscasting identifies the June 25 Japan vs Sweden game in Dallas as the fixture that likely decides second place behind the Netherlands, with the market pricing Japan (+300) and Sweden (+400) to win the group as a near coin-flip.
Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.
Japan vs Sweden 