BBracketResearch
World Cup 2026  /  Schedule  /  JPN v SWE
Group F · Thursday, June 25, 2026

Japan vs Sweden

🕒 7 PM ET📺 FS1 · Telemundo📍 AT&T Stadium, Arlington

The pick

43% JPN30% Draw27% SWE
Model scoreline 1-1Expected goals 1.28 – 0.96
DraftKings: JPN +105 · Draw +245 · SWE +265

Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model.

Head to head

Expected shapes: Japan 3-4-2-1, Sweden 4-4-2.

Ruled out: JPN — Kaoru Mitoma, Takumi Minamino

Japan
vs
Sweden
Model rating
19021828
FIFA ranking
#18#37
Title odds
0.5%0.0%
Squad value (top 26)
€230M€385M
Players in top-5 leagues
48
Avg age (XI) · younger left
27.125.7
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
GKDEFMIDATT
JPNSWE
Top players
Japan
RM
Ritsu Doan
Frankfurt · 27y
82
PAC82
SHO71
PAS78
DRI85
DEF41
PHY64
First TouchInventivePrecision HeaderTechnical
RM
Takefusa Kubo
Real Sociedad · 24y
82
PAC86
SHO77
PAS78
DRI85
DEF40
PHY64
Finesse ShotFirst TouchGamechangerInventive
CDM
Wataru Endo
Liverpool · 33y
79
PAC58
SHO68
PAS71
DRI77
DEF79
PHY73
Press ProvenRelentless
Sweden
ST
Alexander Isak
Liverpool · 26y
88
PAC83
SHO89
PAS73
DRI85
DEF39
PHY76
Finesse Shot ★First TouchGamechangerLow Driven Shot
ST
Viktor Gyokeres
Arsenal · 27y
87
PAC90
SHO86
PAS73
DRI81
DEF36
PHY91
Enforcer ★AcrobaticFinesse ShotLow Driven Shot
RW
Anthony Elanga
Newcastle Utd · 23y
81
PAC92
SHO72
PAS76
DRI82
DEF39
PHY70
EnforcerLow Driven ShotQuick StepRapid

Key players to watch

ST Sweden
Alexander Isak
Liverpool · 26y
88
PAC83
SHO89
PAS73
DRI85
DEF39
PHY76
Finesse Shot ★First TouchGamechangerLow Driven Shot
ST Sweden
Viktor Gyokeres
Arsenal · 27y
87
PAC90
SHO86
PAS73
DRI81
DEF36
PHY91
Enforcer ★AcrobaticFinesse ShotLow Driven Shot
RM Japan
Ritsu Doan
Frankfurt · 27y
82
PAC82
SHO71
PAS78
DRI85
DEF41
PHY64
First TouchInventivePrecision HeaderTechnical
RM Japan
Takefusa Kubo
Real Sociedad · 24y
82
PAC86
SHO77
PAS78
DRI85
DEF40
PHY64
Finesse ShotFirst TouchGamechangerInventive

Projected XIs

Most-likely starting elevens based on recent selections.

Japan
  • 1Z Suzuki
  • 2T Watanabe
  • 3S Taniguchi
  • 4H Ito
  • 5R Doan
  • 6K Sano
  • 7D Kamada
  • 8K Nakamura
  • 9J Ito
  • 10K Mitoma
  • 11A Ueda
Sweden
  • 1V Johansson
  • 2E Holm
  • 3G Lagerbielke
  • 4I Hien
  • 5D Svensson
  • 6A Bernhardsson
  • 7J Karlström
  • 8Y Ayari
  • 9A Elanga
  • 10B Nygren
  • 11M Svanberg

Storylines

2026 FIFA World Cup Group F Odds & Predictions: Netherlands, Japan, Sweden & Tunisia

Sportscasting identifies the June 25 Japan vs Sweden game in Dallas as the fixture that likely decides second place behind the Netherlands, with the market pricing Japan (+300) and Sweden (+400) to win the group as a near coin-flip.

Sportscasting · 2026-06-08
← Back to schedule

Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.