🕒 10 PM ET📺 FOX · Telemundo📍 SoFi Stadium, Inglewood
The pick
46% TUR29% Draw25% USA
Model scoreline 1-1Expected goals 1.34 – 0.92
DraftKings: TUR +170 · Draw +255 · USA +155
Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model. Public consensus from 1 source: Prediction markets (implied).
Head to head
Expected shapes: Turkey 4-2-3-1, United States 3-4-2-1.
Ruled out: USA — Patrick Agyemang
Turkey
vs
United States
Model rating
19581860
FIFA ranking
#22#16
Title odds
1.4%0.2%
Squad value (top 26)
€436M€292M
Players in top-5 leagues
47
Avg age (XI) · younger left
26.824.9
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
TURUSA
Top players
Turkey
CDM
Hakan Calhanoglu
Lombardia FC · 32y
86
PAC71
SHO81
PAS87
DRI82
DEF81
PHY73
Incisive Pass ★Dead BallFirst TouchInventive
CM
Orkun Kokcu
Beşiktaş · 25y
82
PAC72
SHO80
PAS84
DRI80
DEF70
PHY79
Dead BallFinesse ShotIncisive PassPower Shot
RM
Arda Guler
Real Madrid · 21y
81
PAC70
SHO77
PAS83
DRI83
DEF52
PHY50
Finesse ShotIncisive PassInventiveTechnical
United States
RW
Christian Pulisic
Milano FC · 27y
84
PAC88
SHO82
PAS80
DRI86
DEF46
PHY65
Dead BallIncisive PassLow Driven ShotQuick Step
LB
Antonee Robinson
Fulham · 28y
82
PAC88
SHO46
PAS75
DRI77
DEF78
PHY80
InterceptJockeyLong Ball PassRapid
CAM
Malik Tillman
Leverkusen · 23y
82
PAC84
SHO76
PAS77
DRI83
DEF65
PHY77
First TouchIncisive PassInventivePower Shot
Key players to watch
CDM Turkey
Hakan Calhanoglu
Lombardia FC · 32y
86
PAC71
SHO81
PAS87
DRI82
DEF81
PHY73
Incisive Pass ★Dead BallFirst TouchInventive
RW United States
Christian Pulisic
Milano FC · 27y
84
PAC88
SHO82
PAS80
DRI86
DEF46
PHY65
Dead BallIncisive PassLow Driven ShotQuick Step
CM Turkey
Orkun Kokcu
Beşiktaş · 25y
82
PAC72
SHO80
PAS84
DRI80
DEF70
PHY79
Dead BallFinesse ShotIncisive PassPower Shot
LB United States
Antonee Robinson
Fulham · 28y
82
PAC88
SHO46
PAS75
DRI77
DEF78
PHY80
InterceptJockeyLong Ball PassRapid
Projected XIs
Most-likely starting elevens based on recent selections.
Turkey
1A Bayindir
2M Zeki Celik
3S Akaydin
4M Demiral
5C Söyüncü
6F Kadioglu
7I Kahveci
8S Özcan
9O Kokcu
10B Yilmaz
11D Gül
United States
1Matt Freese
2Auston Trusty
3Chris Richards
4Antonee Robinson
5Weston McKennie
6Christian Pulisic
7Sebastian Berhalter
8Alex Freeman
9Malik Tillman
10Tim Weah
11Aidan Morris
Storylines
World Cup 2026, Group D: USA favoured, but Guler's Turkey won't agree
The Group D finale at SoFi Stadium could decide top spot, with Turkey's golden generation built around Arda Guler aiming to upset the hosts on home soil. Any lapse against the USA in the final group game could cost Turkey, whose back line can be exposed when their midfield pivot is pressed.
Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.