World Cup 2026  /  Schedule  /  TUR v USA
Group D · Thursday, June 25, 2026

Turkey vs United States

🕒 10 PM ET📺 FOX · Telemundo📍 SoFi Stadium, Inglewood

The pick

46% TUR29% Draw25% USA
Model scoreline 1-1Expected goals 1.340.92
DraftKings: TUR +170 · Draw +255 · USA +155

Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model. Public consensus from 1 source: Prediction markets (implied).

Head to head

Expected shapes: Turkey 4-2-3-1, United States 3-4-2-1.

Ruled out: USA — Patrick Agyemang

Turkey
vs
United States
Model rating
19581860
FIFA ranking
#22#16
Title odds
1.4%0.2%
Squad value (top 26)
€436M€292M
Players in top-5 leagues
47
Avg age (XI) · younger left
26.824.9
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
GKDEFMIDATT
TURUSA
Top players
Turkey
CDM
Hakan Calhanoglu
Lombardia FC · 32y
86
PAC71
SHO81
PAS87
DRI82
DEF81
PHY73
Incisive Pass ★Dead BallFirst TouchInventive
CM
Orkun Kokcu
Beşiktaş · 25y
82
PAC72
SHO80
PAS84
DRI80
DEF70
PHY79
Dead BallFinesse ShotIncisive PassPower Shot
RM
Arda Guler
Real Madrid · 21y
81
PAC70
SHO77
PAS83
DRI83
DEF52
PHY50
Finesse ShotIncisive PassInventiveTechnical
United States
RW
Christian Pulisic
Milano FC · 27y
84
PAC88
SHO82
PAS80
DRI86
DEF46
PHY65
Dead BallIncisive PassLow Driven ShotQuick Step
LB
Antonee Robinson
Fulham · 28y
82
PAC88
SHO46
PAS75
DRI77
DEF78
PHY80
InterceptJockeyLong Ball PassRapid
CAM
Malik Tillman
Leverkusen · 23y
82
PAC84
SHO76
PAS77
DRI83
DEF65
PHY77
First TouchIncisive PassInventivePower Shot

Key players to watch

CDM Turkey
Hakan Calhanoglu
Lombardia FC · 32y
86
PAC71
SHO81
PAS87
DRI82
DEF81
PHY73
Incisive Pass ★Dead BallFirst TouchInventive
RW United States
Christian Pulisic
Milano FC · 27y
84
PAC88
SHO82
PAS80
DRI86
DEF46
PHY65
Dead BallIncisive PassLow Driven ShotQuick Step
CM Turkey
Orkun Kokcu
Beşiktaş · 25y
82
PAC72
SHO80
PAS84
DRI80
DEF70
PHY79
Dead BallFinesse ShotIncisive PassPower Shot
LB United States
Antonee Robinson
Fulham · 28y
82
PAC88
SHO46
PAS75
DRI77
DEF78
PHY80
InterceptJockeyLong Ball PassRapid

Projected XIs

Most-likely starting elevens based on recent selections.

Turkey
  • 1A Bayindir
  • 2M Zeki Celik
  • 3S Akaydin
  • 4M Demiral
  • 5C Söyüncü
  • 6F Kadioglu
  • 7I Kahveci
  • 8S Özcan
  • 9O Kokcu
  • 10B Yilmaz
  • 11D Gül
United States
  • 1Matt Freese
  • 2Auston Trusty
  • 3Chris Richards
  • 4Antonee Robinson
  • 5Weston McKennie
  • 6Christian Pulisic
  • 7Sebastian Berhalter
  • 8Alex Freeman
  • 9Malik Tillman
  • 10Tim Weah
  • 11Aidan Morris

Storylines

World Cup 2026, Group D: USA favoured, but Guler's Turkey won't agree

The Group D finale at SoFi Stadium could decide top spot, with Turkey's golden generation built around Arda Guler aiming to upset the hosts on home soil. Any lapse against the USA in the final group game could cost Turkey, whose back line can be exposed when their midfield pivot is pressed.

Martin Cid Magazine · 2026-06-06
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Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.