Turkey vs United States 
The pick
Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model. The composite averages every source we track for this match — see composite ratings for the full method. Public consensus from 1 source: Prediction markets (implied).
Head to head
Expected shapes: Turkey 4-2-3-1, United States 3-4-2-1.
Ruled out: USA — Patrick Agyemang, Johnny Cardoso, 15 Cristian Roldan
Turkey Turkey United StatesKey players to watch
Turkey United States Turkey United StatesProjected XIs
Most-likely starting elevens based on recent selections.
Turkey- 1A Bayindir
- 2M Zeki Celik
- 3S Akaydin
- 4M Demiral
- 5C Söyüncü
- 6F Kadioglu
- 7I Kahveci
- 8S Özcan
- 9O Kokcu
- 10B Yilmaz
- 11D Gül
United States- 24Matt Freese
- 6Auston Trusty
- 3Chris Richards
- 5Antonee Robinson
- 8Weston McKennie
- 10Christian Pulisic
- 14Sebastian Berhalter
- 16Alex Freeman
- 17Malik Tillman
- 21Tim Weah
- 11Aidan Morris
Storylines
World Cup 2026, Group D: USA favoured, but Guler's Turkey won't agree
The Group D finale at SoFi Stadium could decide top spot, with Turkey's golden generation built around Arda Guler aiming to upset the hosts on home soil. Any lapse against the USA in the final group game could cost Turkey, whose back line can be exposed when their midfield pivot is pressed.
Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.