Final: TUN 1–3 NED🕒 7 PM ET📺 FOX · Telemundo📍 Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
The pick
6% TUN15% Draw80% NED
Model scoreline 0-2Expected goals 0.51 – 2.43
Composite of 2 sources — DraftKings, our model
5% TUN13% Draw82% NED
DraftKings: TUN +1900 · Draw +800 · NED -750
Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model. The composite averages every source we track for this match — see composite ratings for the full method.
Ruled out: NED — Jurriën Timber, Stefan de Vrij, Xavi Simons, Matthijs de Ligt, Jerdy Schouten
Tunisia
vs
Netherlands
Model rating
16672075
FIFA ranking
#35#8
Title odds
0.0%0.0%
Squad value (top 26)
€61M€774M
Players in top-5 leagues
310
Avg age (XI) · younger left
26.428.0
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
TUNNED
Top players
Tunisia
CDM
17 Ellyes Skhiri
Frankfurt · 30y
80
PAC64
SHO73
PAS74
DRI75
DEF80
PHY74
InterceptPress ProvenRelentless
LB
2 Ali Abdi
OGC Nice · 32y
76
PAC86
SHO62
PAS70
DRI73
DEF69
PHY75
AnticipateLong ThrowRelentlessWhipped Pass
CB
3 Montassar Talbi
FC Lorient · 27y
73
PAC56
SHO30
PAS42
DRI57
DEF73
PHY76
AnticipateBlockSlide Tackle
Netherlands
CB
4 Virgil van Dijk
Liverpool · 34y
90
PAC73
SHO60
PAS72
DRI72
DEF90
PHY87
Intercept ★Aerial FortressAnticipateBruiser
CM
21 Frenkie de Jong
FC Barcelona · 28y
87
PAC82
SHO71
PAS85
DRI87
DEF78
PHY77
Tiki Taka ★Incisive PassInventivePress Proven
CM
14 Tijjani Reijnders
Manchester City · 27y
86
PAC79
SHO79
PAS82
DRI85
DEF77
PHY77
Tiki Taka ★Finesse ShotIncisive PassPower Shot
Key players to watch
CB Netherlands
4 Virgil van Dijk
Liverpool · 34y
90
PAC73
SHO60
PAS72
DRI72
DEF90
PHY87
Intercept ★Aerial FortressAnticipateBruiser
CM Netherlands
21 Frenkie de Jong
FC Barcelona · 28y
87
PAC82
SHO71
PAS85
DRI87
DEF78
PHY77
Tiki Taka ★Incisive PassInventivePress Proven
CM Netherlands
14 Tijjani Reijnders
Manchester City · 27y
86
PAC79
SHO79
PAS82
DRI85
DEF77
PHY77
Tiki Taka ★Finesse ShotIncisive PassPower Shot
CDM Tunisia
17 Ellyes Skhiri
Frankfurt · 30y
80
PAC64
SHO73
PAS74
DRI75
DEF80
PHY74
InterceptPress ProvenRelentless
Projected XIs
Most-likely starting elevens based on recent selections.
Tunisia
1A Chamakh
2M Neffati
3A Ghram
4O Rekik
5A Abdi
6R Khedira
7E Skhiri
8S Ltaief
9A Ben Slimane
10E Saad
11L Farhat
Netherlands
1M Flekken
2D Dumfries
3S de Vrij
4V van Dijk
5N Aké
6J Schouten
7Q Timber
8X Simons
9D Malen
10B Brobbey
11C Gakpo
Storylines
2026 FIFA World Cup: Group F preview, what to know
Tunisia (No. 44, coached by Sabri Lamouchi, captained by Ellyes Skhiri) have never cleared the group stage and aim to advance as a third-place team, while three-time finalists Netherlands are tournament contenders in this matchday-3 clash.
Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.
Tunisia vs Netherlands 