Final: URU 0–1 ESP🕒 8 PM ET📺 FOX · Telemundo📍 Estadio Akron, Guadalajara
The pick
8% URU18% Draw73% ESP
Model scoreline 0-2Expected goals 0.58 – 2.14
Composite of 2 sources — DraftKings, our model
13% URU23% Draw65% ESP
DraftKings: URU +475 · Draw +260 · ESP -145
Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model. The composite averages every source we track for this match — see composite ratings for the full method.
Head to head
Expected shapes: Uruguay 4-4-1-1, Spain 4-3-3.
Ruled out: URU — Ronald Araújo, 10 Giorgian de Arrascaeta · ESP — Dani Carvajal, Fermín López, 11 Yeremy Pino
First Touch ★Incisive PassLong Ball PassRelentless
RM Spain
19 Lamine Yamal
FC Barcelona · 18y
89
PAC85
SHO81
PAS86
DRI90
DEF23
PHY53
Technical ★Finesse ShotFirst TouchGamechanger
Storylines
World Cup 2026: Group H Predictions and Preview
Opta frames Uruguay vs Spain as Group H's defining fixture, with Bielsa's high-press Uruguay the toughest test for the Euro 2024 champions in deciding who tops the group.
World Cup 2026 Group H guide - fixtures, schedule, standings and odds
Sky Sports' group guide casts the June 26 Uruguay-Spain clash in Guadalajara as the likely group-winner decider, with Spain the heavy favourites to top the section.
Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.
Uruguay vs Spain 