BBracketResearch
World Cup 2026  /  Schedule  /  NED v MAR
Round of 32 · Monday, June 29, 2026

Netherlands vs Morocco

Final: NED 1–1 MAR · 2–3 pens🕒 9 PM ET📺 FOX · Telemundo📍 Estadio Monterrey, Monterrey

The pick

Model probability to advance
68% NED32% MAR
Composite of 1 sources — our model
68% NED0% Draw32% MAR
FanDuel to advance: NED -188 · MAR +152

Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model. The composite averages every source we track for this match — see composite ratings for the full method.

Head to head

Expected shapes: Netherlands 4-3-3, Morocco 4-2-3-1.

Ruled out: NED — Jurriën Timber, Stefan de Vrij, Xavi Simons, Matthijs de Ligt, Jerdy Schouten · MAR — Abde Ezzalzouli, 5 Nayef Aguerd, 11 Ismael Saibari

Netherlands
vs
Morocco
Model rating
20751950
FIFA ranking
#8#7
Title odds
0.0%0.0%
Squad value (top 26)
€774M€334M
Players in top-5 leagues
107
Avg age (XI) · younger left
28.027.2
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
GKDEFMIDATT
NEDMAR
Top players
Netherlands
CB
4 Virgil van Dijk
Liverpool · 34y
90
PAC73
SHO60
PAS72
DRI72
DEF90
PHY87
Intercept ★Aerial FortressAnticipateBruiser
CM
21 Frenkie de Jong
FC Barcelona · 28y
87
PAC82
SHO71
PAS85
DRI87
DEF78
PHY77
Tiki Taka ★Incisive PassInventivePress Proven
CM
14 Tijjani Reijnders
Manchester City · 27y
86
PAC79
SHO79
PAS82
DRI85
DEF77
PHY77
Tiki Taka ★Finesse ShotIncisive PassPower Shot
Morocco
RB
2 Achraf Hakimi
Paris SG · 27y
89
PAC92
SHO79
PAS82
DRI83
DEF82
PHY79
Relentless ★AnticipateJockeyLow Driven Shot
GK
1 Yassine Bounou
Al Hilal · 34y
82
PAC81
SHO82
PAS76
DRI85
DEF38
PHY82
Cross ClaimerFar ThrowFootwork
CB
5 Nayef Aguerd
OM · 30y
81
PAC72
SHO50
PAS67
DRI65
DEF82
PHY77
AnticipateLong Ball PassPrecision Header

Key players to watch

CB Netherlands
4 Virgil van Dijk
Liverpool · 34y
90
PAC73
SHO60
PAS72
DRI72
DEF90
PHY87
Intercept ★Aerial FortressAnticipateBruiser
RB Morocco
2 Achraf Hakimi
Paris SG · 27y
89
PAC92
SHO79
PAS82
DRI83
DEF82
PHY79
Relentless ★AnticipateJockeyLow Driven Shot
CM Netherlands
21 Frenkie de Jong
FC Barcelona · 28y
87
PAC82
SHO71
PAS85
DRI87
DEF78
PHY77
Tiki Taka ★Incisive PassInventivePress Proven
CM Netherlands
14 Tijjani Reijnders
Manchester City · 27y
86
PAC79
SHO79
PAS82
DRI85
DEF77
PHY77
Tiki Taka ★Finesse ShotIncisive PassPower Shot
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Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.