World Cup 2026 / Schedule / BRA v JPN
Round of 32 · Monday, June 29, 2026
Brazil vs Japan 
The pick
Model probability to advance
71% BRA29% JPN
Composite of 1 sources — our model
71% BRA0% Draw29% JPN
Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model. The composite averages every source we track for this match — see composite ratings for the full method.
Head to head
Expected shapes: Brazil 4-3-3, Japan 3-4-2-1.
Ruled out: BRA — Rodrygo, Éder Militão, Estêvão, Wesley, Lucas Paquetá · JPN — Kaoru Mitoma, Takumi Minamino, 6 Wataru Endo, 8 Takefusa Kubo
Brazilvs
Japan
Model rating
FIFA ranking
Title odds
Squad value (top 26)
Players in top-5 leagues
Avg age (XI) · younger left
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
BRAJPN
Top players
Brazil1 Alisson
89
PAC86
SHO85
PAS86
DRI89
DEF56
PHY90
Rush Out ★DeflectorFar Throw
11 Raphinha
89
PAC91
SHO84
PAS85
DRI87
DEF53
PHY75
Rapid ★Finesse ShotPower ShotQuick Step
7 Vinicius Jr
89
PAC95
SHO84
PAS81
DRI91
DEF29
PHY69
Quick Step ★Chip ShotFinesse ShotFirst Touch
Japan10 Ritsu Doan
82
PAC82
SHO71
PAS78
DRI85
DEF41
PHY64
First TouchInventivePrecision HeaderTechnical
8 Takefusa Kubo
82
PAC86
SHO77
PAS78
DRI85
DEF40
PHY64
Finesse ShotFirst TouchGamechangerInventive
6 Wataru Endo
79
PAC58
SHO68
PAS71
DRI77
DEF79
PHY73
Press ProvenRelentless
Key players to watch
GK Brazil
Brazil1 Alisson
89
PAC86
SHO85
PAS86
DRI89
DEF56
PHY90
Rush Out ★DeflectorFar Throw
LM Brazil
Brazil11 Raphinha
89
PAC91
SHO84
PAS85
DRI87
DEF53
PHY75
Rapid ★Finesse ShotPower ShotQuick Step
LW Brazil
Brazil7 Vinicius Jr
89
PAC95
SHO84
PAS81
DRI91
DEF29
PHY69
Quick Step ★Chip ShotFinesse ShotFirst Touch
RM Japan
Japan10 Ritsu Doan
82
PAC82
SHO71
PAS78
DRI85
DEF41
PHY64
First TouchInventivePrecision HeaderTechnical
Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.