Group L · FIFA #4

England

Shape 4-2-3-1Model rating 2110Composite #4 of 48Squad value €1.03BTitle odds 17%

Ruled out: 12 Tino Livramento

Second opinion: the six-source composite puts England’s title odds at 12% (market 7%, Opta 12%).

Wed, Jun 174 PM ETFT

England#44

Croatia#112

AT&T Stadium · Arlington

Model

55% ENG27% Draw18% CRO

DraftKings: -140 · +285 · +380

Tue, Jun 234 PM ETFT

England#40

Ghana#450

Gillette Stadium · Foxborough

Model

79% ENG15% Draw6% GHA

DraftKings: -450 · +550 · +1300

Sat, Jun 275 PM ETFT

Panama#300

England#42

MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford

Model

7% PAN17% Draw75% ENG

DraftKings: +1400 · +700 · -575

Wed, Jul 112 PM ETFT

England#42

DR Congo#361

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Atlanta

Model · to advance

89% ENG11% COD

FanDuel to adv.: ENG -1200 · COD +700

Sun, Jul 58 PM ETFT

Mexico#132

England#43

Estadio Azteca · Mexico City

Model · to advance

20% MEX80% ENG

FanDuel to adv.: MEX +114 · ENG -140

Sat, Jul 115 PM ETAET

Norway#281

England#42

Hard Rock Stadium · Miami Gardens

Model · to advance

27% NOR73% ENG

Live odds not yet available

Wed, Jul 153 PM ETFOX

England#4

Argentina#1

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Atlanta

Model · to advance

45% ENG55% ARG

Live odds not yet available

Round-by-round odds come from simulating the tournament thousands of times with each team’s model rating. Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes; coverage varies by squad.