World Cup 2026 / Schedule / RSA v CAN
Round of 32 · Sunday, June 28, 2026
South Africa vs Canada 
The pick
Model probability to advance
35% RSA65% CAN
Composite of 1 sources — our model
35% RSA0% Draw65% CAN
Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model. The composite averages every source we track for this match — see composite ratings for the full method.
Head to head
Expected shapes: South Africa 4-3-3, Canada 4-4-2.
Ruled out: CAN — Marcelo Flores, 19 Alphonso Davies
South Africavs
Canada
Model rating
FIFA ranking
Title odds
Squad value (top 26)
Players in top-5 leagues
Avg age (XI) · younger left
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
RSACAN
Top players
South Africa9 Lyle Foster
72
PAC81
SHO72
PAS61
DRI69
DEF36
PHY73
21 Ime Okon
67
PAC77
SHO30
PAS44
DRI59
DEF68
PHY70
13 Sphephelo Sithole
65
PAC64
SHO53
PAS59
DRI61
DEF64
PHY74
Canada19 Alphonso Davies
84
PAC94
SHO66
PAS78
DRI85
DEF74
PHY76
Quick StepRapid
10 Jonathan David
82
PAC81
SHO82
PAS71
DRI80
DEF34
PHY78
Low Driven ShotPress ProvenQuick StepRelentless
2 Alistair Johnston
78
PAC82
SHO59
PAS73
DRI72
DEF73
PHY80
AnticipateBruiserJockeyRelentless
Key players to watch
LB Canada
Canada19 Alphonso Davies
84
PAC94
SHO66
PAS78
DRI85
DEF74
PHY76
Quick StepRapid
ST Canada
Canada10 Jonathan David
82
PAC81
SHO82
PAS71
DRI80
DEF34
PHY78
Low Driven ShotPress ProvenQuick StepRelentless
RB Canada
Canada2 Alistair Johnston
78
PAC82
SHO59
PAS73
DRI72
DEF73
PHY80
AnticipateBruiserJockeyRelentless
ST South Africa
South Africa9 Lyle Foster
72
PAC81
SHO72
PAS61
DRI69
DEF36
PHY73
Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.