World Cup 2026 / Schedule / FRA v SWE
Round of 32 · Tuesday, June 30, 2026
France vs Sweden 
The pick
Model probability to advance
89% FRA11% SWE
Composite of 1 sources — our model
89% FRA0% Draw11% SWE
Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model. The composite averages every source we track for this match — see composite ratings for the full method.
Head to head
Expected shapes: France 4-2-3-1, Sweden 4-4-2.
Ruled out: FRA — Hugo Ekitike, 17 William Saliba · SWE — 4 Isak Hien
Francevs
Sweden
Model rating
FIFA ranking
Title odds
Squad value (top 26)
Players in top-5 leagues
Avg age (XI) · younger left
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
FRASWE
Top players
France10 Kylian Mbappe
91
PAC97
SHO90
PAS81
DRI92
DEF37
PHY76
Quick Step ★AcrobaticFinesse ShotFirst Touch
7 Ousmane Dembele
90
PAC91
SHO88
PAS83
DRI93
DEF50
PHY69
Rapid ★InventiveLow Driven ShotPinged Pass
16 Mike Maignan
87
PAC84
SHO83
PAS85
DRI88
DEF64
PHY84
Far Throw ★DeflectorFootworkLong Ball Pass
Sweden9 Alexander Isak
88
PAC83
SHO89
PAS73
DRI85
DEF39
PHY76
Finesse Shot ★First TouchGamechangerLow Driven Shot
17 Viktor Gyokeres
87
PAC90
SHO86
PAS73
DRI81
DEF36
PHY91
Enforcer ★AcrobaticFinesse ShotLow Driven Shot
11 Anthony Elanga
81
PAC92
SHO72
PAS76
DRI82
DEF39
PHY70
EnforcerLow Driven ShotQuick StepRapid
Key players to watch
ST France
France10 Kylian Mbappe
91
PAC97
SHO90
PAS81
DRI92
DEF37
PHY76
Quick Step ★AcrobaticFinesse ShotFirst Touch
ST France
France7 Ousmane Dembele
90
PAC91
SHO88
PAS83
DRI93
DEF50
PHY69
Rapid ★InventiveLow Driven ShotPinged Pass
ST Sweden
Sweden9 Alexander Isak
88
PAC83
SHO89
PAS73
DRI85
DEF39
PHY76
Finesse Shot ★First TouchGamechangerLow Driven Shot
GK France
France16 Mike Maignan
87
PAC84
SHO83
PAS85
DRI88
DEF64
PHY84
Far Throw ★DeflectorFootworkLong Ball Pass
Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.