World Cup 2026 / Schedule / ESP v BEL
Quarterfinal · Friday, July 10, 2026
Spain vs Belgium 
The pick
Model probability to advance
82% ESP18% BEL
Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model.
Head to head
Expected shapes: Spain 4-3-3, Belgium 4-2-3-1.
Ruled out: ESP — Dani Carvajal, Fermín López, 11 Yeremy Pino · BEL — 24 Amadou Onana, 8 Youri Tielemans, 1 Thibaut Courtois
vs
Belgium
Model rating
FIFA ranking
Title odds
Squad value (top 26)
Players in top-5 leagues
Avg age (XI) · younger left
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
ESPBEL
Top players
16 Rodri
90
PAC65
SHO80
PAS86
DRI84
DEF86
PHY85
Tiki Taka ★Aerial FortressBruiserLong Ball Pass
20 Pedri
89
PAC77
SHO73
PAS85
DRI91
DEF78
PHY77
First Touch ★Incisive PassLong Ball PassRelentless
19 Lamine Yamal
89
PAC85
SHO81
PAS86
DRI90
DEF23
PHY53
Technical ★Finesse ShotFirst TouchGamechanger
1 Thibaut Courtois
89
PAC85
SHO89
PAS76
DRI90
DEF46
PHY88
Cross Claimer ★Far ThrowRush Out
7 Kevin De Bruyne
87
PAC66
SHO83
PAS92
DRI84
DEF65
PHY72
Whipped Pass ★Dead BallIncisive PassInventive
8 Youri Tielemans
85
PAC54
SHO79
PAS85
DRI80
DEF75
PHY72
Pinged Pass ★Incisive PassPower ShotPress Proven
Key players to watch
16 Rodri
90
PAC65
SHO80
PAS86
DRI84
DEF86
PHY85
Tiki Taka ★Aerial FortressBruiserLong Ball Pass
20 Pedri
89
PAC77
SHO73
PAS85
DRI91
DEF78
PHY77
First Touch ★Incisive PassLong Ball PassRelentless
19 Lamine Yamal
89
PAC85
SHO81
PAS86
DRI90
DEF23
PHY53
Technical ★Finesse ShotFirst TouchGamechanger
1 Thibaut Courtois
89
PAC85
SHO89
PAS76
DRI90
DEF46
PHY88
Cross Claimer ★Far ThrowRush Out
Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.