World Cup 2026 / Schedule / FRA v ESP
Semifinal · Tuesday, July 14, 2026
France vs Spain 
The pick
Model probability to advance
36% FRA64% ESP
Win, draw, and loss probabilities and expected goals are from our team-strength model.
Head to head
Expected shapes: France 4-2-3-1, Spain 4-3-3.
Ruled out: FRA — Hugo Ekitike, 17 William Saliba · ESP — Dani Carvajal, Fermín López, 11 Yeremy Pino
Francevs
Spain
Model rating
FIFA ranking
Title odds
Squad value (top 26)
Players in top-5 leagues
Avg age (XI) · younger left
Squad strength by line (EA FC 26 ratings)
FRAESP
Top players
France10 Kylian Mbappe
91
PAC97
SHO90
PAS81
DRI92
DEF37
PHY76
Quick Step ★AcrobaticFinesse ShotFirst Touch
7 Ousmane Dembele
90
PAC91
SHO88
PAS83
DRI93
DEF50
PHY69
Rapid ★InventiveLow Driven ShotPinged Pass
16 Mike Maignan
87
PAC84
SHO83
PAS85
DRI88
DEF64
PHY84
Far Throw ★DeflectorFootworkLong Ball Pass
Spain16 Rodri
90
PAC65
SHO80
PAS86
DRI84
DEF86
PHY85
Tiki Taka ★Aerial FortressBruiserLong Ball Pass
20 Pedri
89
PAC77
SHO73
PAS85
DRI91
DEF78
PHY77
First Touch ★Incisive PassLong Ball PassRelentless
19 Lamine Yamal
89
PAC85
SHO81
PAS86
DRI90
DEF23
PHY53
Technical ★Finesse ShotFirst TouchGamechanger
Key players to watch
ST France
France10 Kylian Mbappe
91
PAC97
SHO90
PAS81
DRI92
DEF37
PHY76
Quick Step ★AcrobaticFinesse ShotFirst Touch
ST France
France7 Ousmane Dembele
90
PAC91
SHO88
PAS83
DRI93
DEF50
PHY69
Rapid ★InventiveLow Driven ShotPinged Pass
CDM Spain
Spain16 Rodri
90
PAC65
SHO80
PAS86
DRI84
DEF86
PHY85
Tiki Taka ★Aerial FortressBruiserLong Ball Pass
CM Spain
Spain20 Pedri
89
PAC77
SHO73
PAS85
DRI91
DEF78
PHY77
First Touch ★Incisive PassLong Ball PassRelentless
Player ratings are EA Sports FC 26 attributes, used here as a consistent, public proxy for player quality. Squad-level comparisons cover the players we could rate; coverage varies by team.