11-Seeds

11-seeds have become the ultimate bracket busters.  11-seed UCLA did it again last year.  They’ve laid waste to brackets three times in the last 10 tournaments by reaching the Final Four.  11-seeds have actually reached the Second Round and the Sweet 16 about as often as 12-seeds, but they’re the only double-digit seed (outside of 10-Syracuse in 2016) to make it to the Final 4.

Overall Performance

  • 54 (of 144) advanced to the Second Round
  • 24 went on to the Sweet 16
  • 9 reached the Elite 8
  • 5 reached the Final 4

Performance Over the Last 10 Years

  • 21 (of 40) advanced to the Second Round
  • 12 went on to the Sweet 16
  • 5 reached the Elite 8
  • 3 reached the Final 4

Bracket Performance History and Advice

  • First Round: There is an 85% chance of at least one upset.  It’s been 18 years since we haven’t seen an 11-seed pull off a First Round upset.  In the last 28 tournaments, an 11-seed failed to advance only 3 times.
  • Second Round:  11-seeds are on an incredible run – at least one 11-seed has won a Second Round game in 9 of the last 11 tournaments.  Overall, there’s about a 52% chance at least one 11-seed will advance to the Sweet 16.
  • Sweet 16:  Of the 24 teams to reach this round, nine of them continued to the next.  Eight out of the last 10 Sweet 16’s included an 11-seed.
  • Elite 8:  Only 6% make it this far.
  • Final 4:  It’s happened five times, ever.
  • Final:  Never reached the final.

Record in the Second Round

  • vs 3-seeds:  18-30
  • vs 14-seeds:  6-0

Feats of Strength

  • In 1989 all four 11-seeds advanced to the second round
  • Five 11-seeds have advanced to the Final 4:
    • 2021 – UCLA
    • 2018 – Loyola-Chicago
    • 2011 – Virginia Commonwealth
    • 2006 – George Mason
    • 1986 – LSU

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.