11-seeds have become the ultimate bracket busters. They’ve laid waste to brackets twice in the last 11 years by reaching the Final 4. 11-seeds have actually reached the Round of 32 and the Sweet 16 about as often as 12-seeds, but they’re the only double-digit seed to make it to the Final 4.
Overall, 46 (of 128) 11-seeds advanced to the Round of 32. 19 went on to the Sweet 16, and 6 reached the Elite 8.
Over the last 10 years, 19 (of 40) advanced to the Round of 32. 8 went on to the Sweet 16, and 2 reached the Elite 8.
Record in the Second Round (by seed matchup)
- vs 3-seeds: 14-28
- vs 14-seeds: 5-0
Feats of Strength
- In 1989 all four 11-seeds advanced to the second round
- Three 11-seeds have advanced to the Final 4:
- 2011 – Virginia Commonwealth
- 2006 – George Mason
- 1986 – LSU
Two 11-seeds will get past the second round. One of them will advance to the Sweet 16.
There’s an equal chance of either one or two 11-seeds upsetting their 6-seed opponents. It sure is tempting to call the 11-seed Elite 8 or Final 4 run, but it’s probably not happening this year.
Pick one or two 11-seeds to win in the Round of 64. Keep in mind that, on average for the last 10 years, 11-, -12, and 13-seeds combine to provide 4.4 total upsets in the first round. So pick 3-5 of those upsets, and make 1 or 2 of them 11-seeds. Unless you think your 11-seed has a really strong team or a great matchup, don’t pick your 11-seed to go any further. Or if you don’t like any of your 12’s or 13’s to make it, go ahead and pick one of your 11’s.