- Selection Sunday 2020: March Madness Selection Show on CBS will reveal NCAA Tournament bracket
- Odds for Each CBB Bubble Team Making March Madness Pre-Conference Tourneys
- Bubble Tracker: Here are the 23 March Madness teams fighting to play in NCAA tournament
- 5 mid-majors that can win the NCAA Tournament
- 10 teams that could steal a bid to the NCAA tournament
- 14 college basketball teams to keep an eye on from now until Selection Sunday
- An NCAA Tournament with empty arenas? It can’t be ruled out due to coronavirus fears
- The NCAA bracket regions where more upsets happen than any other
- Who’s in the NCAA Tournament? Making the case for SEC bubble teams
- Kansas basketball: It’s hard to find a weakness in the Jayhawks
- BPI says Kansas is a bigger NCAA tournament favorite than you might think
- How to get your Sweet 16 picks right when you fill out your bracket
Tag Archives: bracket projection
Bracket News – 9 Feb 2020
- Baylor, Kansas, Gonzaga, SDSU Top Seeds in 2020 NCAA Tournament Bracket Preview
- NCAA Basketball: Top 16 breakdown, belief in Maryland, and more weekly takeaways
- Biggest Takeaways from the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee’s Top 16 Reveal
- College basketball scores, winners & losers: Kansas’ Bill Self wins No. 700; West Virginia slips a seed line
- Bilas: This is Kansas’ best shot at a national title in 10 years
- Can Duke finish as a No. 1 seed?
New Page – Compare Metrics for Projected Tournament Teams
Check out the new Projected NCAA Tournament Team Comparison page. It includes two tables showing a list of teams along with some of the metrics the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee will use as selection criteria, including NET, Kenpom, and Sagarin ranks, along with NET Quadrant records.
One table includes teams projected to make the tournament according to the Bracket Matrix, a compilation of bracketologists’ projections from across the internet.
The other table includes all NCAA Division 1 men’s basketball teams.
Updated Bracket Probabilities
Now that everybody’s brackets are all busted up, I thought I’d re-run my sweet model (click here to see just how amazing it is) and see how the bracket probabilities for each team pan out. New favorites are Villanova and Kansas (by far), followed by West Virginia and Kentucky.
Most Likely Busts – Top-Seeded Early Exits
An early exit for a top seed is losing in the first weekend of the tournament, or in other words failing to reach the Sweet 16. Only 67% of 1-3 seeds make the Sweet 16, so this happens often enough that you should at least consider it while making your picks. According to my lovely computer model (which is amazing), here are the most likely top-seeded teams to make an early exit. Most interesting observation: four of these teams have a greater than 50% chance of going home early…
Dark Horse Final Four Teams
My definition of a Dark Horse Final Four Team: a 5+ seed team that reaches the Final Four. 83% of all Final Four teams have been seeded 1-4. Most interesting observation: three of these teams are from the East Region…
Top 10 Most Likely Bracket Busters
My definition of a Bracket Buster: an 6+ seed team that reaches the Elite 8. Most bracket fillers conservatively stick to the highest seeds when picking their Elite 8 teams, and rightly so – 81% of all Elite 8 teams were seeded 1-5. So when a 6+ seed team reaches the Elite 8, most people’s brackets are busted. Based on simulating the tournament thousands of times with my sweet computer model (click here to see just how amazing it is at predicting NCAA Tournament outcomes), here are the most likely Bracket Busters.
Top 5 Most Likely Cinderella Teams
My definition of a Cinderella team: an 11+ seed team from a mid-major conference that reaches as least the Sweet 16. Correctly identify a Cinderella team in your bracket, and you’ll not only look like a genius, but also increase your chances of winning your bracket pool. Based on simulating the tournament thousands of times with my sweet computer model (click here to see just how amazing it is at predicting NCAA Tournament outcomes), here are the most likely Cinderellas.
Top 5 Most Likely First Round Upsets
Increase your chances of winning your bracket pool by using simulation results from BracketResearch.com’s computer model. Click here to see just how amazing it is at predicting NCAA Tournament outcomes. Among the most likely upsets in the first round, we’ve got a nice mix of 10, 11, 12, and 13 seeds. Only two teams, though, have a greater than 50% chance of winning their first game.
Top 5 Most Likely Teams to Win the Midwest Region
Increase your chances of winning your bracket pool by using simulation results from BracketResearch.com’s computer model. Click here to see just how amazing it is at predicting NCAA Tournament outcomes. You like Michigan State to reach the Final Four? You might want to reconsider…