Tag Archives: ncaa tournament contender

NCAA Bracket Prediction Probability Comparisons

This year, I’ve gathered some bracket probabilities from other websites to compare with my calculations and so we can score them all after the fact to see whose models performed best. I was able to find predictions at the following websites:

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Bracket Tips for the 2019 NCAA Tournament

Summary of tips and advice to (hopefully) help you win your NCAA Tournament bracket pool/challenge/whatever

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Dark Horse Final Four Teams

Dark Horse Final Four Team:  a 5+ seeded team that reaches the Final Four

As 83% of all Final Four teams have been seeded 1-4, the following teams have the best chances among the “longshots.” 

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Top NCAA Tournament Championship Probabilities

To win your bracket pool, you’ve gotta pick the champion correctly (in standard scoring formats).  The final game is worth as much as the first 32 games combined.  Good thing you’re reading this post.

Using our sweet computer model that amazingly predicts NCAA Tournament results.   Read on to see this year’s most likely teams to win the NCAA Tournament.

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Official List of 2019 National Championship Contenders

The most important key to winning your NCAA Tournament bracket pool is correctly picking the champion. Comparing this year’s top teams with the DNA of past champions, I’ve narrowed this list of contenders down to 6 teams. All of the following teams have the DNA of a champion. Pick one of these teams to win it all.

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One of These Teams Will Win the 2019 NCAA Tournament

These teams meet the AP Poll rank-criteria that all but 2 of the last 30 Champions have met. Once the tournament field is finalized on Selection Sunday (3/17), we will be able to narrow this group down to the few true contenders with my Champ DNA test.

2019 Early List of Championship Contenders

  1. Tennessee
  2. Duke
  3. Virginia
  4. Gonzaga
  5. Michigan
  6. Michigan State
  7. Kentucky
  8. Nevada
  9. North Carolina
  10. Marquette
  11. Kansas
  12. Virginia Tech

2018 Teams With Champ DNA

A thorough analysis of past national championship teams has shown that they have certain traits and characteristics in common.  Visit the DNA of a National Championship Team page for a full explanation of those attributes. Scroll all the way to the bottom of this post if you just want to see a list of this year’s contenders.

Caution:  Not all teams that fit this description win the championship.  Every year there are between 3 and 10 contenders with the right DNA that don’t win it all and might even make an early exit from the tournament (for example, 2016 Michigan State losing in the First Round or Kentucky’s second round exit in 2004).

Here’s a breakdown of this year’s contenders.

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