Last week’s AP Poll narrowed our list of contenders to 12 teams. 30 of the last 32 champs ranked in the top 12, seven weeks before the tournament started. At the end of the regular season, we’ll be able to narrow the list to the key handful of teams that are built like a champ.
Continue readingBracket News – 11 January 2022
- 5 NCAA basketball teams on upset alert this week: Could Duke lose again?
- Badgers Bracketology: Where experts see Wisconsin men’s basketball’s standing in the NCAA Tournament
- These Facts Make It Impossible For Baylor Not To Repeat As NCAA Tournament Champs Now
- NCAA Basketball: Buy or sell Duke, Kansas, Arizona, Purdue, and Kentucky?
- Even though Ohio State’s loss to Indiana was ugly, there’s plenty of season left
- CBS Sports College basketball rankings: Auburn vaults to No. 2 in Top 25 And 1 as Tigers extend winning streak
- College basketball scores, winners and losers: Kansas, Texas go down in day of upsets in Big 12
Bracket News – 4 January 2022
- Here are the remaining undefeated men’s basketball teams in the 2021-22 season
- Why LSU game can help prove Kentucky basketball is legitimate contender
- Bracketology: Purdue jumps up to a No. 1 seed , Big 12 has eight in projected NCAA Tournament bracket update
- CBB Analytics is Bringing Advanced Stats to College Basketball Teams
Bracket News – 29 December 2021
- College basketball this week: Top 10 games to watch, including huge SEC showdowns
- Let the (SEC) games begin: Who’s hot, who’s not as league play starts Wednesday night
- Omicron might prove to be toughest opponent for Arizona Wildcats, rest of Pac-12
- Should Kentucky basketball be considered the SEC favorite entering league play?
- 8 special men’s March Madness anniversaries to know as we enter 2022
- 5 NCAA basketball teams on upset alert this week: Is Baylor in trouble?
- Villanova rejoins Power 36 men’s college basketball rankings
- Big Ten basketball reset: Conference looks to avenge last year’s March struggles
- Auburn basketball enters SEC play as league’s highest-ranked team in AP poll
- Week Seven 2021-’22 Big Ten Power Rankings – More Cancellations
Bracket News – 20 December 2021
Bracket News – 13 December 2021
- 2022 March Madness: Complete schedule, dates, TV times
- Here are the remaining undefeated men’s basketball teams in the 2021-22 season
- Commentary: no need to panic over Zags’ on-court struggles
- 30 takeaways from the first month of the men’s college basketball season
- Gonzaga Reclaims March Madness Odds After Purdue’s Loss
- Ranking the final 8 unbeaten teams of 2021-22 season
- Auburn men’s basketball on probation; Bruce Pearl handed 2-game suspension
- Arkansas Offense A Challenge To Defend
- As Seton Hall tops Rutgers, Pirates look like serious Big East, NCAA Tournament contender
Bracket News – 8 December 2021
Computer Model Composite – NCAA Bracket Prediction Probabilities for Every Team
I’ve gathered bracket probabilities from other websites to compare with my model’s results. Here are the numbers from those models as well as a composite (average of all the models) probability for every team reaching each round. Apologies to the other play-in teams, but I assumed Michigan State, Wichita State, Mt St Mary’s, and Appalachian State win their First Four games.
I’ll show the numbers in a few different looks – Champs, First Round Upsets, Bracket Busters, Cinderellas, Busts, Dark Horse Final Four, and a composite for All Teams/All Rounds – get your scrolling fingers ready!
IMPORTANT NOTE: the probabilities for 14-Colgate are significantly inflated by the shocking numbers the model from The Power Rank gives them.
I was able to find predictions at the following websites:
Continue readingMost Likely Busts – Top-Seeded Early Exits – 2021
An early exit for a top seed is losing in the first weekend of the tournament, or in other words failing to reach the Sweet 16.
Only 67% of 1-3 seeds reach the Sweet 16, so this happens often enough that you should at least consider it while making your picks. This year, we have 2 top-seeded teams that are likely not going to survive the first weekend (greater than 50% chance). Here are the most likely top-seeded teams to make an early exit.
Continue readingDark Horse Final Four Teams – 2021
A dark horse Final Four team is a 5+ seed that reaches the Final Four
Even though 83% of all Final Four teams have been seeded 1-4, 9 of the last 10 tournaments have had at least 1 5+ seed in the Final Four. The following teams have the best chances among this year’s “longshots.”
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