- Unranked in preseason, these seven teams are now Final Four sleepers
- Only 11 schools still have a legit shot to snag a No. 1 seed in the 2020 NCAA Tournament
- ESPN Computer Model Sees 3 National Title Frontrunners
- San Diego State is college basketball’s last unbeaten team. Be very skeptical.
- Rutgers Is Actually Good at Basketball. No, Really.
- Bubble Banter: Virginia Basketball on the cusp with five weeks remaining
- NCAA Basketball: Gonzaga, Jalen Harris top mid-major performers
- MAC Basketball: Can the Akron Zips make noise in 2020 NCAA Tournament?
- Early 2020 NCAA Tournament Alert: Dangerous Mid-Majors
- Baylor, Kansas, Gonzaga, SDSU Top Seeds in 2020 NCAA Tournament Bracket Preview
- NCAA Basketball: Top 16 breakdown, belief in Maryland, and more weekly takeaways
- Biggest Takeaways from the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee’s Top 16 Reveal
- College basketball scores, winners & losers: Kansas’ Bill Self wins No. 700; West Virginia slips a seed line
- Bilas: This is Kansas’ best shot at a national title in 10 years
- Can Duke finish as a No. 1 seed?
- Overlooked national title contender Dayton has surprisingly built an all-time elite offense
- Ranking College Basketball’s Best Potential 2020 March Madness Cinderella Teams
- BPI says these college basketball teams are better than their places in the standings
- Edwards: The Dayton Flyers are going to cut the nets down in Atlanta on April 6
- Bracketology Bubble Watch: Alabama, Syracuse rising into consideration
- Halfway home in a strange basketball season for the ACC
- March Madness: Getting to know the No. 12 seed
- Fun at Work: Super Bowl, NCAA Can Boost Staffers’ Morale
Check out the new Projected NCAA Tournament Team Comparison page. It includes two tables showing a list of teams along with some of the metrics the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee will use as selection criteria, including NET, Kenpom, and Sagarin ranks, along with NET Quadrant records.
One table includes teams projected to make the tournament according to the Bracket Matrix, a compilation of bracketologists’ projections from across the internet.
The other table includes all NCAA Division 1 men’s basketball teams.
This year, I’ve gathered some bracket probabilities from other websites to compare with my calculations and so we can score them all after the fact to see whose models performed best. I was able to find predictions at the following websites:
- BR – BracketResearch.com
- SN – Sporting News
- KP –
- TPR – The Power Rank
- ESPN – ESPN’s Basketball Power Index (BPI)
- PS – PlayoffStatus.com
Summary of tips and advice to (hopefully) help you win your NCAA Tournament bracket pool/challenge/whateverContinue reading
An early exit for a top seed is losing in the first weekend of the tournament, or in other words failing to reach the Sweet 16.
Only 67% of 1-3 seeds reach the Sweet 16, so this happens often enough that you should at least consider it while making your picks. According to my lovely computer model (which is amazing), here are the most likely top-seeded teams to make an early exit. Most interesting observation: three of these teams have a greater than 40% chance of going home early…Continue reading
Dark Horse Final Four Team: a 5+ seeded team that reaches the Final Four
As 83% of all Final Four teams have been seeded 1-4, the following teams have the best chances among the “longshots.”
Bracket Buster definition: a 6+ seeded team that reaches the Elite 8
Most bracket fillers conservatively stick to the highest seeds when picking their Elite 8 teams, and rightly so – 81% of all Elite 8 teams were seeded 1-5. So when a 6+ seed team reaches the Elite 8, most people’s brackets are busted. Based on simulating the tournament thousands of times with my sweet computer model (click here to see just how amazing it is at predicting NCAA Tournament outcomes), here are this year’s most likely Bracket Busters.Continue reading
My definition of a Cinderella team: an 11+ seed team from a mid-major conference that reaches as least the Sweet 16. Correctly identify a Cinderella team in your bracket, and you’ll not only look like a genius, but also increase your chances of winning your bracket pool. Based on simulating the tournament thousands of times with my sweet computer model (click here to see just how amazing it is at predicting NCAA Tournament outcomes), here are the most likely Cinderellas.Continue reading